Octodec (South Africa) Performance

OCT Stock   1,473  33.00  2.29%   
Octodec has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of -0.16, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Octodec are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Octodec is likely to outperform the market. Octodec right now holds a risk of 1.55%. Please check Octodec treynor ratio, downside variance, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall , to decide if Octodec will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Octodec are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Octodec is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow58.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities214.8 M
  

Octodec Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  141,700  in Octodec on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5,600  from holding Octodec or generate 3.95% return on investment over 90 days. Octodec is generating 0.0754% of daily returns and assumes 1.5518% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 13% of stocks are less volatile than Octodec, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Octodec is expected to generate 1.82 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.05 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of volatility.

Octodec Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Octodec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,473 90 days 1,473 
nearly 4.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Octodec to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.52 (This Octodec probability density function shows the probability of Octodec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Octodec has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Octodec are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Octodec is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Octodec has an alpha of 0.1636, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Octodec Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Octodec

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Octodec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4711,4731,475
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2221,2241,620
Details

Octodec Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Octodec is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Octodec's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Octodec, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Octodec within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
28.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Octodec Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Octodec for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Octodec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Octodec Fundamentals Growth

Octodec Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Octodec, and Octodec fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Octodec Stock performance.

About Octodec Performance

By analyzing Octodec's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Octodec's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Octodec has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Octodec has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Octodec performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Octodec for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Octodec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Octodec's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Octodec's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Octodec's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Octodec's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Octodec's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Octodec's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Octodec's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Octodec's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Octodec's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Octodec's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Octodec's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Octodec Stock analysis

When running Octodec's price analysis, check to measure Octodec's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Octodec is operating at the current time. Most of Octodec's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Octodec's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Octodec's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Octodec to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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