Onto Innovation Stock Performance

ONTO Stock  USD 188.86  0.26  0.14%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Onto Innovation holds a performance score of 14. The company holds a Beta of 1.26, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Onto Innovation will likely underperform. Please check Onto Innovation's total risk alpha, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the Downside Variance and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Onto Innovation's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Onto Innovation are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile basic indicators, Onto Innovation displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow233.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-226.5 M

Onto Innovation Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  13,909  in Onto Innovation on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5,082  from holding Onto Innovation or generate 36.54% return on investment over 90 days. Onto Innovation is currently generating 0.558% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.0714% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Onto, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Onto Innovation is expected to generate 4.02 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Onto Innovation Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Onto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 188.86 90 days 188.86 
about 23.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Onto Innovation to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.91 (This Onto Innovation probability density function shows the probability of Onto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Onto Innovation will likely underperform. Additionally Onto Innovation has an alpha of 0.5037, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Onto Innovation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Onto Innovation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Onto Innovation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Onto Innovation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
185.12188.22191.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
169.74204.12207.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
158.17161.26164.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
122.74175.11227.48
Details

Onto Innovation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Onto Innovation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Onto Innovation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Onto Innovation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Onto Innovation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.26
σ
Overall volatility
29.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Onto Innovation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Onto Innovation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Onto Innovation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Onto Innovation appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Onto Innovation has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Onto Innovation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Onto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Onto Innovation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Onto Innovation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments852.3 M

Onto Innovation Fundamentals Growth

Onto Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Onto Innovation, and Onto Innovation fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Onto Stock performance.

About Onto Innovation Performance

By examining Onto Innovation's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Onto Innovation's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Onto Innovation is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Onto Innovation Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and support of process control tools that performs macro defect inspection and 2D3D optical metrology, lithography systems, and process control analytical software worldwide. Onto Innovation Inc. was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts. Onto Innovation operates under Semiconductor Equipment Materials classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 1411 people.

Things to note about Onto Innovation performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Onto Innovation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Onto Innovation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Onto Innovation appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Onto Innovation has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Onto Innovation's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Onto Innovation's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Onto Innovation's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Onto Innovation's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Onto Innovation's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Onto Innovation's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Onto Innovation's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Onto Innovation's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Onto Innovation's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Onto Innovation's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Onto Innovation's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Onto Innovation offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Onto Innovation's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Onto Innovation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Onto Innovation Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Onto Innovation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty.
To learn how to invest in Onto Stock, please use our How to Invest in Onto Innovation guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Onto diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Onto Innovation. Anticipated expansion of Onto directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Onto Innovation data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Onto Innovation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Onto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Onto Innovation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Onto Innovation's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Onto Innovation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Onto Innovation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Onto Innovation's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Onto Innovation should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Onto Innovation's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.