Opendoor Stock Performance

OPNDF Stock  USD 1.95  0.15  7.14%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.57, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, OpenDoor will likely underperform. At this point, OpenDoor has a negative expected return of -0.56%. Please make sure to check OpenDoor's skewness, and the relationship between the information ratio and day median price , to decide if OpenDoor performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days OpenDoor has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow2.9 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-17 M
  

OpenDoor Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  301.00  in OpenDoor on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (106.00) from holding OpenDoor or give up 35.22% of portfolio value over 90 days. OpenDoor is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 4.9448% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 44% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than OpenDoor, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon OpenDoor is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.58 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

OpenDoor Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of OpenDoor Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.95 90 days 1.95 
about 77.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OpenDoor to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.34 (This OpenDoor probability density function shows the probability of OpenDoor Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.57 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, OpenDoor will likely underperform. Additionally OpenDoor has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   OpenDoor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OpenDoor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OpenDoor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OpenDoor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.956.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.856.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.916.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.841.962.09
Details

OpenDoor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OpenDoor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OpenDoor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OpenDoor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OpenDoor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.6
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

OpenDoor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OpenDoor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OpenDoor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OpenDoor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
OpenDoor may become a speculative penny stock
OpenDoor has high historical volatility and very poor performance
OpenDoor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.2 B. Net Loss for the year was (544 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 539 M.
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

OpenDoor Fundamentals Growth

OpenDoor Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of OpenDoor, and OpenDoor fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on OpenDoor Pink Sheet performance.

About OpenDoor Performance

By analyzing OpenDoor's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into OpenDoor's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if OpenDoor has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if OpenDoor has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
OpenDoor Inc. provides Web services through the Internet in Japan. OpenDoor Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Open Door operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 183 people.

Things to note about OpenDoor performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about OpenDoor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for OpenDoor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OpenDoor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
OpenDoor may become a speculative penny stock
OpenDoor has high historical volatility and very poor performance
OpenDoor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.2 B. Net Loss for the year was (544 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 539 M.
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating OpenDoor's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate OpenDoor's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing OpenDoor's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether OpenDoor's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining OpenDoor's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating OpenDoor's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of OpenDoor's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of OpenDoor's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into OpenDoor's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating OpenDoor's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact OpenDoor's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for OpenDoor Pink Sheet analysis

When running OpenDoor's price analysis, check to measure OpenDoor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OpenDoor is operating at the current time. Most of OpenDoor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OpenDoor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OpenDoor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OpenDoor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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