Oreilly Automotive Stock Performance
| ORLY Stock | USD 96.66 1.45 1.52% |
The company holds a Beta of 0.42, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, OReilly Automotive's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding OReilly Automotive is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, OReilly Automotive has a negative expected return of -0.0395%. Please make sure to check OReilly Automotive's coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if OReilly Automotive performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days OReilly Automotive has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong essential indicators, OReilly Automotive is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.52 | Five Day Return 4.93 | Year To Date Return 7 | Ten Year Return 466.92 | All Time Return 60.2 K |
Last Split Factor 15:1 | Last Split Date 2025-06-10 |
1 | Acquisition by Hopper Philip M of 3500 shares of OReilly Automotive at 17.98 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/26/2025 |
2 | Heres Why Advance Auto Parts Accelerated Higher Today | 02/03/2026 |
3 | OReillys Q4 CY2025 Earnings Results Revenue In Line With Expectations | 02/04/2026 |
4 | OReilly outlines 35 percent 2026 comparable store sales growth target while accelerating North American expansion | 02/05/2026 |
5 | OReilly Automotive Q4 Earnings Call Highlights | 02/06/2026 |
6 | Does OReillys 2025 Beat And Cautious 2026 Outlook Change The Bull Case For ORLY | 02/09/2026 |
7 | A Look At OReilly Automotive Valuation After 2025 Results And 2026 Guidance Shift Analyst Sentiment | 02/11/2026 |
8 | OReilly Automotive Inc Sees Significant Reduction in Akre Capital Managements Portfolio | 02/13/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 130.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.2 B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.6 B |
OReilly Automotive Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 9,956 in OReilly Automotive on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (290.00) from holding OReilly Automotive or give up 2.91% of portfolio value over 90 days. OReilly Automotive is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.3438% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than OReilly, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
OReilly Automotive Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of OReilly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 96.66 | 90 days | 96.66 | about 42.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OReilly Automotive to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 42.14 (This OReilly Automotive probability density function shows the probability of OReilly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
OReilly Automotive Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OReilly Automotive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OReilly Automotive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OReilly Automotive Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OReilly Automotive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OReilly Automotive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OReilly Automotive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OReilly Automotive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
OReilly Automotive Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OReilly Automotive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OReilly Automotive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OReilly Automotive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| OReilly Automotive currently holds 10.53 B in liabilities. OReilly Automotive has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about OReilly Automotive's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| OReilly Automotive has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: OReilly Automotive Inc Sees Significant Reduction in Akre Capital Managements Portfolio |
OReilly Automotive Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OReilly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OReilly Automotive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OReilly Automotive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 855.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 193.8 M |
OReilly Automotive Fundamentals Growth
OReilly Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of OReilly Automotive, and OReilly Automotive fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on OReilly Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.59 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.14 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.19 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 88.46 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 841.91 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 25.98 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 210.18 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 4.52 X | ||||
| Revenue | 17.78 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 9.17 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 3.97 B | ||||
| Net Income | 2.54 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 67.06 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.07 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 10.53 B | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.70 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.91) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.76 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.97 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 80.37 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 16.54 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (2.33 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | (2.44 B) | ||||
| Current Asset | 631.04 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 147.42 M | ||||
About OReilly Automotive Performance
Evaluating OReilly Automotive's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if OReilly Automotive has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if OReilly Automotive has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 243.03 | 193.05 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.16 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.45 | 0.22 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.15 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Equity | (3.33) | (3.16) |
Things to note about OReilly Automotive performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about OReilly Automotive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for OReilly Automotive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OReilly Automotive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| OReilly Automotive currently holds 10.53 B in liabilities. OReilly Automotive has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about OReilly Automotive's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| OReilly Automotive has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: OReilly Automotive Inc Sees Significant Reduction in Akre Capital Managements Portfolio |
- Analyzing OReilly Automotive's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether OReilly Automotive's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining OReilly Automotive's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating OReilly Automotive's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of OReilly Automotive's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of OReilly Automotive's stock. These opinions can provide insight into OReilly Automotive's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for OReilly Stock Analysis
When running OReilly Automotive's price analysis, check to measure OReilly Automotive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OReilly Automotive is operating at the current time. Most of OReilly Automotive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OReilly Automotive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OReilly Automotive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OReilly Automotive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.