Oreilly Automotive Stock Technical Analysis
| ORLY Stock | USD 92.72 1.50 1.59% |
As of the 9th of February, OReilly Automotive holds the insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance, coefficient of variation of (14,228), and Variance of 1.76. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of OReilly Automotive, as well as the relationship between them.
OReilly Automotive Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as OReilly, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to OReillyOReilly Automotive's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.OReilly Automotive Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 105.72 | Strong Buy | 28 | Odds |
Most OReilly analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand OReilly stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of OReilly Automotive, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to OReilly conference calls.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OReilly Automotive. Anticipated expansion of OReilly directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive OReilly Automotive assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.12 | Earnings Share 2.97 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.078 | Return On Assets |
The market value of OReilly Automotive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OReilly that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OReilly Automotive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OReilly Automotive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OReilly Automotive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OReilly Automotive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between OReilly Automotive's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding OReilly Automotive should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, OReilly Automotive's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
OReilly Automotive 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to OReilly Automotive's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of OReilly Automotive.
| 11/11/2025 |
| 02/09/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in OReilly Automotive on November 11, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding OReilly Automotive or generate 0.0% return on investment in OReilly Automotive over 90 days. OReilly Automotive is related to or competes with AutoZone, Airbnb, Ferrari NV, Royal Caribbean, Marriott International, Nike, and GM. OReilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket ... More
OReilly Automotive Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure OReilly Automotive's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess OReilly Automotive upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.2 |
OReilly Automotive Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for OReilly Automotive's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as OReilly Automotive's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use OReilly Automotive historical prices to predict the future OReilly Automotive's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.04) |
OReilly Automotive February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9749 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (14,228) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.2 | |||
| Skewness | (0.41) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.8 |
OReilly Automotive Backtested Returns
OReilly Automotive maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0767, which implies the firm had a -0.0767 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. OReilly Automotive exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check OReilly Automotive's Variance of 1.76, insignificant risk adjusted performance, and Coefficient Of Variation of (14,228) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.5, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, OReilly Automotive's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding OReilly Automotive is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, OReilly Automotive has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to check OReilly Automotive's coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if OReilly Automotive performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.37 |
Poor reverse predictability
OReilly Automotive has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between OReilly Automotive time series from 11th of November 2025 to 26th of December 2025 and 26th of December 2025 to 9th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of OReilly Automotive price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current OReilly Automotive price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.37 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.54 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 11.33 |
OReilly Automotive technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
OReilly Automotive Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for OReilly Automotive across different markets.
About OReilly Automotive Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of OReilly Automotive on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of OReilly Automotive based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on OReilly Automotive price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding OReilly Automotive. By analyzing OReilly Automotive's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of OReilly Automotive's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to OReilly Automotive specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Inventory Turnover | 1.65 | 1.6 | 1.84 | 1.69 | ROIC | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.34 |
OReilly Automotive February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of OReilly help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OReilly from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze OReilly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9749 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (14,228) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.35) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.2 | |||
| Skewness | (0.41) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.8 |
OReilly Automotive February 9, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as OReilly stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 165,873 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.60) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 93.13 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 92.99 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.16) |
Additional Tools for OReilly Stock Analysis
When running OReilly Automotive's price analysis, check to measure OReilly Automotive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OReilly Automotive is operating at the current time. Most of OReilly Automotive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OReilly Automotive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OReilly Automotive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OReilly Automotive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.