Ovintiv Stock Performance

OVV Stock  CAD 59.15  0.52  0.89%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ovintiv holds a performance score of 8. The company holds a Beta of -0.39, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ovintiv are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ovintiv is likely to outperform the market. Please check Ovintiv's total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Ovintiv's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ovintiv are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Ovintiv displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.028
Payout Ratio
0.5545
Last Split Factor
1:5
Forward Dividend Rate
1.64
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
1
Ovintiv Releases Quarterly Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By 0.06 EPS - MarketBeat
11/05/2025
2
Ovintiv Valuation Check After 12-Year Cedar LNG Export Deal and Montney Growth Push - simplywall.st
12/19/2025
3
Zacks Research Has Negative View of Ovintiv FY2025 Earnings - MarketBeat
12/31/2025
4
Ovintiv Brief RBC Capital Markets Adding Ovintiv To Its Global Energy Best Ideas List On Acquisition of NuVista and Planned Disposition of its Anadarko Basin As...
01/06/2026
5
Mizuho maintains Outperform rating on Ovintiv stock ahead of earnings - Investing.com
01/15/2026
6
BMO Capital reiterates Outperform rating on Ovintiv stock with 52 target - Investing.com
01/22/2026
7
Ovintiv Inc Receives Approval for NuVista Acquisition - TradingView
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash FlowM
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.5 B
  

Ovintiv Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,238  in Ovintiv on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  677.00  from holding Ovintiv or generate 12.92% return on investment over 90 days. Ovintiv is generating 0.2131% of daily returns assuming 2.0117% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 18% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Ovintiv, and 96% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ovintiv is expected to generate 2.71 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.71 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Ovintiv Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ovintiv Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 59.15 90 days 59.15 
roughly 2.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ovintiv to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.02 (This Ovintiv probability density function shows the probability of Ovintiv Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ovintiv has a beta of -0.39. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ovintiv are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ovintiv is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ovintiv has an alpha of 0.2589, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ovintiv Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ovintiv

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ovintiv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.8858.8960.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.2246.2365.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.1458.1660.17
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.020.991.21
Details

Ovintiv Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ovintiv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ovintiv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ovintiv, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ovintiv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
2.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Ovintiv Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ovintiv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ovintiv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ovintiv has accumulated 6.29 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.84, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ovintiv has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ovintiv until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ovintiv's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ovintiv sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ovintiv to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ovintiv's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 90.0% of Ovintiv shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ovintiv Inc Receives Approval for NuVista Acquisition - TradingView

Ovintiv Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ovintiv Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ovintiv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ovintiv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding267.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments42 M

Ovintiv Fundamentals Growth

Ovintiv Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ovintiv, and Ovintiv fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ovintiv Stock performance.

About Ovintiv Performance

By examining Ovintiv's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Ovintiv's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Ovintiv is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 0.27  0.26 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.13 

Things to note about Ovintiv performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ovintiv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ovintiv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ovintiv has accumulated 6.29 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.84, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ovintiv has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ovintiv until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ovintiv's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ovintiv sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ovintiv to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ovintiv's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 90.0% of Ovintiv shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ovintiv Inc Receives Approval for NuVista Acquisition - TradingView
Evaluating Ovintiv's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ovintiv's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ovintiv's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ovintiv's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ovintiv's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ovintiv's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ovintiv's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ovintiv's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ovintiv's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ovintiv's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ovintiv's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Ovintiv is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ovintiv's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ovintiv's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ovintiv Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ovintiv. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
To learn how to invest in Ovintiv Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ovintiv guide.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
It's important to distinguish between Ovintiv's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ovintiv should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Ovintiv's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.