Paycom Software Stock Performance

PAYC Stock  USD 125.06  5.30  4.43%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.57, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Paycom Software's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Paycom Software is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Paycom Software has a negative expected return of -0.5%. Please make sure to check Paycom Software's potential upside, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and market facilitation index , to decide if Paycom Software performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Paycom Software has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.88
Five Day Return
(9.18)
Year To Date Return
(21.42)
Ten Year Return
392.23
All Time Return
680.2
Forward Dividend Yield
0.012
Payout Ratio
0.1622
Forward Dividend Rate
1.5
Dividend Date
2025-12-08
Ex Dividend Date
2025-11-24
1
Acquisition by Chad Richison of 112 shares of Paycom Soft subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
 
Paycom Software dividend paid on 8th of December 2025
12/08/2025
2
Market Analysis Automatic Data Processing And Competitors In Professional Services Industry
12/09/2025
3
Disposition of 1300 shares by Robert Foster of Paycom Soft at 162.66 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/10/2025
4
NBA Champion Jalen Williams Joins Forces With Paycom
12/23/2025
5
A Look At Paycom Software Valuation After Prolonged Share Price Weakness
01/13/2026
6
Paycom Software BMO Capital Highlights Contraction in Broader Software Multiples
01/26/2026
7
Jeff Yorks Return Puts Paycom Sales Focus And Investor Thesis In Spotlight
01/27/2026
8
Paycom Software, Inc. ABullCase Theory
02/03/2026
9
Disposition of 3697 shares by Peck Randall of Paycom Software at 131.59 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/05/2026
10
Sather Loads Up Paycom With 18,000 Shares Bought Last Quarter - aol.com
02/09/2026
11
Guggenheim Bullish on Paycom Software Despite Weak Share Price Performance
02/10/2026
12
Paycom Software FY 2025 Margin Compression Tests Bullish Long Term Narratives
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow294 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-22.2 M

Paycom Software Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  16,371  in Paycom Software on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4,395) from holding Paycom Software or give up 26.85% of portfolio value over 90 days. Paycom Software is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.0248% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Paycom, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Paycom Software is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.61 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.25 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Paycom Software Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Paycom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 125.06 90 days 125.06 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Paycom Software to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Paycom Software probability density function shows the probability of Paycom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Paycom Software has a beta of 0.57 indicating as returns on the market go up, Paycom Software average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Paycom Software will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Paycom Software has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Paycom Software Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Paycom Software

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paycom Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Paycom Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
115.79117.81119.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
107.78143.50145.52
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
179.43197.18218.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.532.963.43
Details

Paycom Software Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Paycom Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Paycom Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Paycom Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Paycom Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
13.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

Paycom Software Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Paycom Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Paycom Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Paycom Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Paycom Software FY 2025 Margin Compression Tests Bullish Long Term Narratives

Paycom Software Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Paycom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Paycom Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Paycom Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments402 M

Paycom Software Fundamentals Growth

Paycom Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Paycom Software, and Paycom Software fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Paycom Stock performance.

About Paycom Software Performance

By analyzing Paycom Software's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Paycom Software's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Paycom Software has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Paycom Software has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 1.76  1.67 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.29  0.22 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.32  0.37 

Things to note about Paycom Software performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Paycom Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Paycom Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Paycom Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Paycom Software FY 2025 Margin Compression Tests Bullish Long Term Narratives
Evaluating Paycom Software's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Paycom Software's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Paycom Software's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Paycom Software's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Paycom Software's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Paycom Software's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Paycom Software's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Paycom Software's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Paycom Software's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Paycom Software's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Paycom Software's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Paycom Stock analysis

When running Paycom Software's price analysis, check to measure Paycom Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paycom Software is operating at the current time. Most of Paycom Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paycom Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paycom Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paycom Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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