Paychex Stock Performance
| PAYX Stock | USD 102.47 0.66 0.64% |
The company holds a Beta of 0.75, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Paychex's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Paychex is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Paychex has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to check Paychex's potential upside and day median price , to decide if Paychex performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Paychex has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.64) | Five Day Return 0.48 | Year To Date Return (5.64) | Ten Year Return 113.04 | All Time Return 49.1 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0422 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 3:2 | Forward Dividend Rate 4.32 | Dividend Date 2026-02-27 |
1 | Insider Trading | 11/11/2025 |
| Paychex dividend paid on 26th of November 2025 | 11/26/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 239845 shares by Golisano B Thomas of Paychex at 107.77 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/21/2026 |
3 | Manhattan Associates Reports Earnings Tomorrow What To Expect | 01/26/2026 |
4 | Paychex Adds Ex Cintas CFO As Board Weighs Value And Momentum | 01/27/2026 |
5 | ADP Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | 01/28/2026 |
6 | Paychex Valuation Check As Financing Moves And Dividend Confirmation Draw Fresh Investor Attention | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.9 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -3.7 B |
Paychex Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 11,286 in Paychex on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,039) from holding Paychex or give up 9.21% of portfolio value over 90 days. Paychex is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.3016% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Paychex, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Paychex Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Paychex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 102.47 | 90 days | 102.47 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Paychex to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Paychex probability density function shows the probability of Paychex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Paychex Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Paychex
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paychex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Paychex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Paychex Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Paychex is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Paychex's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Paychex, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Paychex within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Paychex Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Paychex for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Paychex can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Paychex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Heico Corporation Receives 362.85 Consensus Target Price from Analysts |
Paychex Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Paychex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Paychex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Paychex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 362 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Paychex Fundamentals Growth
Paychex Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Paychex, and Paychex fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Paychex Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.41 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.26 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.42 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 40.21 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 358.97 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 31.04 X | |||
| Price To Book | 9.54 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 6.10 X | |||
| Revenue | 5.57 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 4.43 B | |||
| EBITDA | 2.49 B | |||
| Net Income | 1.66 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.23 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 3.41 X | |||
| Total Debt | 5.02 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.28 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.29 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 10.81 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.95 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 4.42 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 36.78 B | |||
| Total Asset | 16.56 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 2.28 B | |||
| Working Capital | 1.96 B | |||
| Current Asset | 4.86 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 4.37 B | |||
About Paychex Performance
Evaluating Paychex's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Paychex has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Paychex has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.19 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.21 | 0.33 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.12 | 0.13 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.36 | 0.26 |
Things to note about Paychex performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Paychex for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Paychex help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Paychex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Heico Corporation Receives 362.85 Consensus Target Price from Analysts |
- Analyzing Paychex's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Paychex's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Paychex's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Paychex's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Paychex's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Paychex's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Paychex's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Paychex Stock Analysis
When running Paychex's price analysis, check to measure Paychex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paychex is operating at the current time. Most of Paychex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paychex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paychex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paychex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.