Paychex Stock Technical Analysis
| PAYX Stock | USD 102.32 2.62 2.50% |
As of the 28th of January, Paychex holds the Variance of 1.99, coefficient of variation of (543.75), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Paychex, as well as the relationship between them.
Paychex Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Paychex, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to PaychexPaychex's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Paychex Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 120.2 | Hold | 18 | Odds |
Most Paychex analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Paychex stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Paychex, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Paychex conference calls.
Is Human Resource & Employment Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Paychex. If investors know Paychex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Paychex listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 4.22 | Earnings Share 4.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.183 |
The market value of Paychex is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Paychex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Paychex's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Paychex's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Paychex's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Paychex's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Paychex's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Paychex is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Paychex's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Paychex 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Paychex's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Paychex.
| 10/30/2025 |
| 01/28/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Paychex on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Paychex or generate 0.0% return on investment in Paychex over 90 days. Paychex is related to or competes with Rockwell Automation, Delta Air, WW Grainger, Otis Worldwide, Ametek, Heico, and Waste Connections. Paychex, Inc. provides integrated human capital management solutions for human resources , payroll, benefits, and insura... More
Paychex Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Paychex's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Paychex upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.24) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.15) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.32 |
Paychex Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Paychex's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Paychex's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Paychex historical prices to predict the future Paychex's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.35) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Paychex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Paychex January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.34) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9919 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (543.75) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.24) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.35) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.15) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.32 | |||
| Skewness | (0.74) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.22 |
Paychex Backtested Returns
Paychex maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.12, which implies the firm had a -0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Paychex exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Paychex's Variance of 1.99, coefficient of variation of (543.75), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.77, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Paychex's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Paychex is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Paychex has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to check Paychex's information ratio, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and relative strength index , to decide if Paychex performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.05 |
Virtually no predictability
Paychex has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Paychex time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Paychex price movement. The serial correlation of 0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Paychex price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.05 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 12.41 |
Paychex technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Paychex Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Paychex across different markets.
About Paychex Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Paychex on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Paychex based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Paychex price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Paychex. By analyzing Paychex's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Paychex's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Paychex specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0304 | 0.0255 | 0.0229 | 0.0167 | Price To Sales Ratio | 8.2 | 10.21 | 9.19 | 5.56 |
Paychex January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Paychex help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Paychex from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Paychex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.34) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9919 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (543.75) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.24) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.35) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.15) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.32 | |||
| Skewness | (0.74) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.22 |
Paychex January 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Paychex stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 102.32 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 102.32 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.31) |
Additional Tools for Paychex Stock Analysis
When running Paychex's price analysis, check to measure Paychex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paychex is operating at the current time. Most of Paychex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paychex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paychex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paychex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.