Pbf Energy Stock Performance

PBF Stock  USD 34.54  0.87  2.58%   
The firm holds a Beta of 0.46, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, PBF Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding PBF Energy is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, PBF Energy has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to check PBF Energy's total risk alpha, kurtosis, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if PBF Energy performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days PBF Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.58
Five Day Return
(2.37)
Year To Date Return
21.07
Ten Year Return
22.01
All Time Return
31.58
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0318
Payout Ratio
0.1537
Forward Dividend Rate
1.1
Dividend Date
2026-03-11
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-25
 
PBF Energy dividend paid on 26th of November 2025
11/26/2025
1
PBF Energy among the energy stocks that fell this week - MSN
12/24/2025
2
Disposition of 50000 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 32.3094 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/09/2026
3
Disposition of 9000 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 32.9067 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/21/2026
4
Disposition of 35000 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 34.0676 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/29/2026
5
Major Shareholder Makes Bold Move With Significant PBF Energy Stock Sale - TipRanks
02/02/2026
6
Disposition of 140659 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 34.096 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
7
Disposition of 259600 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 35.2764 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/04/2026
8
Disposition of 157200 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 34.6574 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/05/2026
9
A Look At PBF Energys Valuation As Analyst Upgrade Follows Martinez Restart And Insurance Recoveries
02/06/2026
10
Disposition of 1400 shares by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of PBF Energy at 34.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/10/2026
11
Does Surging Hedge Fund Shorts Versus Quant Buy Ratings Reframe the Bull Case for PBF Energy
02/11/2026
12
PBF Energy targets 350M in annualized run rate savings by end of 2026 as Martinez refinery restart nears completion
02/12/2026
13
PBF Energy Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates on Higher Refining Margins
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow536.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-480.2 M

PBF Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,939  in PBF Energy on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (485.00) from holding PBF Energy or give up 12.31% of portfolio value over 90 days. PBF Energy is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.724% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than PBF, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon PBF Energy is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.93 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

PBF Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PBF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 34.54 90 days 34.54 
about 28.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PBF Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.58 (This PBF Energy probability density function shows the probability of PBF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon PBF Energy has a beta of 0.46 indicating as returns on the market go up, PBF Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PBF Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PBF Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PBF Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PBF Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PBF Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.7734.5238.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.7530.5037.99
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.8232.7736.37
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.091.021.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PBF Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PBF Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PBF Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PBF Energy.

PBF Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PBF Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PBF Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PBF Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PBF Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
3.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

PBF Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PBF Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PBF Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PBF Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PBF Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 29.33 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (160.5 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 64.7 M.
PBF Energy has about 527.9 M in cash with (78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.83.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: PBF Energy Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates on Higher Refining Margins

PBF Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PBF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PBF Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PBF Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments527.9 M

PBF Energy Fundamentals Growth

PBF Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PBF Energy, and PBF Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PBF Stock performance.

About PBF Energy Performance

By analyzing PBF Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into PBF Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if PBF Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if PBF Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 31.29  29.72 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.03)(0.03)

Things to note about PBF Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PBF Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PBF Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PBF Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PBF Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 29.33 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (160.5 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 64.7 M.
PBF Energy has about 527.9 M in cash with (78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.83.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: PBF Energy Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates on Higher Refining Margins
Evaluating PBF Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PBF Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PBF Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PBF Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PBF Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PBF Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PBF Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PBF Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into PBF Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PBF Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PBF Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for PBF Stock analysis

When running PBF Energy's price analysis, check to measure PBF Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PBF Energy is operating at the current time. Most of PBF Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PBF Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PBF Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PBF Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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