Pbf Energy Stock Price Prediction
| PBF Stock | USD 33.41 0.41 1.24% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.76) | EPS Estimate Current Year (4.75) | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.1496 | Wall Street Target Price 31.1539 |
Using PBF Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PBF Energy from the perspective of PBF Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PBF Energy using PBF Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PBF using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PBF Energy's stock price.
PBF Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in PBF Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PBF. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PBF Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 26.4164 | Short Percent 0.3143 | Short Ratio 8.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 16.3 M | 50 Day MA 31.823 |
PBF Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PBF Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PBF. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PBF can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PBF Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PBF Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PBF Energy.
PBF Energy Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
PBF Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PBF Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PBF Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PBF Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when PBF Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PBF Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PBF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PBF Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 33.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PBF contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PBF Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0513% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With PBF Energy trading at USD 33.41, that is roughly USD 0.0171 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PBF Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PBF Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out PBF Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. PBF Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PBF Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PBF Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PBF Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PBF Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PBF Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PBF Energy's historical news coverage. PBF Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.60 and 37.22, respectively. We have considered PBF Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PBF Energy is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PBF Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
PBF Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PBF Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PBF Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PBF Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 3.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
33.41 | 33.41 | 0.00 |
|
PBF Energy Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January PBF Energy is traded for 33.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PBF is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on PBF Energy is about 18238.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.41. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.74. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PBF Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.51. The entity recorded a loss per share of 4.59. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out PBF Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PBF Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PBF Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PBF Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how PBF Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PBF Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VVV | Valvoline | 0.64 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.38 | (2.97) | 8.27 | |
| UGP | Ultrapar Participacoes SA | (0.05) | 10 per month | 2.40 | 0.11 | 3.92 | (2.79) | 13.99 | |
| CVI | CVR Energy | (1.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.40 | (4.12) | 14.85 | |
| CRC | California Resources Corp | 0.15 | 11 per month | 1.57 | 0.01 | 3.41 | (3.01) | 8.01 | |
| VAL | Valaris | 0.06 | 6 per month | 2.34 | 0.04 | 3.76 | (3.39) | 20.91 | |
| MUR | Murphy Oil | 0.79 | 6 per month | 2.61 | 0.06 | 4.80 | (3.78) | 19.80 | |
| MGY | Magnolia Oil Gas | (0.92) | 6 per month | 1.60 | 0.01 | 2.70 | (2.81) | 6.80 | |
| RIG | Transocean | 0.17 | 8 per month | 1.88 | 0.19 | 5.53 | (3.37) | 20.08 | |
| UUUU | Energy Fuels | (0.01) | 11 per month | 5.48 | 0.05 | 9.31 | (8.64) | 24.95 | |
| GLNG | Golar LNG Limited | (0.03) | 10 per month | 1.16 | 0.01 | 2.79 | (2.11) | 11.39 |
PBF Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PBF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PBF using various technical indicators. When you analyze PBF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PBF Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PBF Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PBF Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PBF Energy based on analysis of PBF Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PBF Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PBF Energy's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 37.46 | 45.52 | 40.97 | 32.75 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 32.34 | 28.29 | 32.53 | 30.9 |
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Complementary Tools for PBF Stock analysis
When running PBF Energy's price analysis, check to measure PBF Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PBF Energy is operating at the current time. Most of PBF Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PBF Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PBF Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PBF Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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