Ponce Financial Group Stock Performance

PDLB Stock  USD 16.78  0.42  2.57%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ponce Financial holds a performance score of 12. The company holds a Beta of 1.32, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ponce Financial will likely underperform. Please check Ponce Financial's semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Ponce Financial's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ponce Financial Group are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat fragile essential indicators, Ponce Financial sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.57
Five Day Return
(0.89)
Year To Date Return
4.22
Ten Year Return
12.62
All Time Return
12.62
Last Split Factor
1395:1000
Dividend Date
2018-05-31
Last Split Date
2022-01-28
1
Earnings Estimates Moving Higher for Ponce Financial Time to Buy
11/11/2025
2
Ponce Financial Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings - MSN
12/11/2025
3
Heres Why We Think Ponce Financial Group Might Deserve Your Attention Today
12/16/2025
4
Ponce Financial Group Rating Increased to Buy at Wall Street Zen - MarketBeat
12/26/2025
5
Avoiding Lag Real-Time Signals in Movement - Stock Traders Daily
01/02/2026
6
Ponce De Leon Foundation Awarded Grants in the Amount of 635,000 to Nonprofits
01/08/2026
7
Ponce Financial Group to Release Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat
01/20/2026
8
Acquisition by Steven Tsavaris of 1500 shares of Ponce Financial at 18.57 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/22/2026
9
Heres Why Ponce Financial Group Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow139.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-294.9 M

Ponce Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,407  in Ponce Financial Group on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  271.00  from holding Ponce Financial Group or generate 19.26% return on investment over 90 days. Ponce Financial Group is currently generating 0.307% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.9138% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Ponce, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ponce Financial is expected to generate 2.56 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Ponce Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ponce Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.78 90 days 16.78 
about 16.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ponce Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.42 (This Ponce Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of Ponce Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.32 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ponce Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Ponce Financial Group has an alpha of 0.1098, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ponce Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ponce Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ponce Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.4017.3119.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1019.2321.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.6417.5519.47
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.8418.5020.54
Details

Ponce Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ponce Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ponce Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ponce Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ponce Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Ponce Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ponce Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ponce Financial Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: FS Bancorp raises dividend by 3.6 percent to 0.29

Ponce Financial Fundamentals Growth

Ponce Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ponce Financial, and Ponce Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ponce Stock performance.

About Ponce Financial Performance

By analyzing Ponce Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ponce Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ponce Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ponce Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.01 

Things to note about Ponce Financial Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ponce Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ponce Financial Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: FS Bancorp raises dividend by 3.6 percent to 0.29
Evaluating Ponce Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ponce Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ponce Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ponce Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ponce Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ponce Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ponce Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ponce Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ponce Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ponce Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ponce Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Ponce Stock analysis

When running Ponce Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ponce Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ponce Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ponce Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ponce Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ponce Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ponce Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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