Progressive Corp Stock Performance
| PGR Stock | USD 204.53 0.92 0.45% |
The company holds a Beta of 0.0923, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Progressive Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Progressive Corp is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Progressive Corp has a negative expected return of -0.0469%. Please make sure to check Progressive Corp's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Progressive Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Progressive Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable technical and fundamental indicators, Progressive Corp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.45) | Five Day Return 1.47 | Year To Date Return (3.58) | Ten Year Return 546.22 | All Time Return 382.6 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.068 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 4:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 13.9 | Dividend Date 2026-01-08 |
| Progressive Corp dividend paid on 8th of January 2026 | 01/08/2026 |
1 | Far-Left House Candidate Backed By Bernie Sanders, AOC Leads Raucous Crowd In Chanting Abolish ICE | 01/20/2026 |
2 | The Progressive Corporation PGR Shares Sold by Vanguard Personalized Indexing Management LLC | 01/26/2026 |
3 | Stock Market News for Jan 29, 2026 | 01/29/2026 |
4 | Why Retirees Are Leaving Cheap States and Where Theyre Going Instead | 02/04/2026 |
5 | PQShield is Recognized as a Progressive Company in the MarketsandMarkets 360Quadrants for the Post-Quantum Cryptography Market | 02/05/2026 |
6 | The Progressive Corporation is largely controlled by institutional shareholders who own 87 percent of the company | 02/06/2026 |
7 | TRV Stock Near 52-Week High A Signal for Investors to Hold Tight | 02/09/2026 |
8 | Is Progressive Attractive After Recent Share Price Pullback And Mixed Valuation Signals | 02/10/2026 |
9 | The Progressive Corporation PGR Shares Sold by Impax Asset Management Group plc | 02/11/2026 |
10 | The Progressive Corporation In a Phase of Robust Growth Amid Advertising Efficiency | 02/12/2026 |
11 | The Progressive Corporation Receives Consensus Recommendation of Hold from Analysts | 02/13/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 100 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -13.7 B |
Progressive | Build AI portfolio with Progressive Stock |
Progressive Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 21,189 in Progressive Corp on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (736.00) from holding Progressive Corp or give up 3.47% of portfolio value over 90 days. Progressive Corp is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.4303% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Progressive, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Progressive Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Progressive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 204.53 | 90 days | 204.53 | about 88.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Progressive Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.64 (This Progressive Corp probability density function shows the probability of Progressive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Progressive Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Progressive Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Progressive Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Progressive Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Progressive Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Progressive Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Progressive Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Progressive Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0058 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Progressive Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Progressive Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Progressive Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Progressive Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Progressive Corp has 86.49 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is OK given its current industry classification. Progressive Corp has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Progressive to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| Progressive Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of Progressive Corp shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 8th of January 2026 Progressive Corp paid $ 13.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: The Progressive Corporation Receives Consensus Recommendation of Hold from Analysts |
Progressive Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Progressive Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Progressive Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Progressive Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 588.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 92.8 B |
Progressive Corp Fundamentals Growth
Progressive Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Progressive Corp, and Progressive Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Progressive Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.4 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0792 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 126.6 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 586.1 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 93.06 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.95 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.37 X | ||||
| Revenue | 79.91 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 16.25 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 13.09 B | ||||
| Net Income | 8.48 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.59 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 7.84 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 86.49 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.43 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 51.74 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 15.12 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 19.23 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 119.9 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 91.06 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 24.28 B | ||||
About Progressive Corp Performance
Assessing Progressive Corp's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Progressive Corp's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Progressive Corp is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.11 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.14 | 0.17 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.11 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Equity | 2.23 | 2.34 |
Things to note about Progressive Corp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Progressive Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Progressive Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Progressive Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Progressive Corp has 86.49 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is OK given its current industry classification. Progressive Corp has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Progressive to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| Progressive Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of Progressive Corp shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 8th of January 2026 Progressive Corp paid $ 13.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: The Progressive Corporation Receives Consensus Recommendation of Hold from Analysts |
- Analyzing Progressive Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Progressive Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Progressive Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Progressive Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Progressive Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Progressive Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Progressive Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Progressive Stock Analysis
When running Progressive Corp's price analysis, check to measure Progressive Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progressive Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Progressive Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progressive Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progressive Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progressive Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.