Progressive Corp Stock Performance

PGR Stock  USD 206.03  0.89  0.43%   
Progressive Corp has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 0.22, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Progressive Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Progressive Corp is expected to be smaller as well. Progressive Corp right now holds a risk of 1.38%. Please check Progressive Corp skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to decide if Progressive Corp will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Progressive Corp are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable technical and fundamental indicators, Progressive Corp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.43)
Five Day Return
0.82
Year To Date Return
(2.87)
Ten Year Return
598.64
All Time Return
385.4 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0675
Payout Ratio
0.787
Last Split Factor
4:1
Forward Dividend Rate
13.9
Dividend Date
2026-01-08
1
Progressive Planet Solutions Is Posting Healthy Earnings, But It Is Not All Good News
12/26/2025
2
The total return for Progressive investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last five years
01/07/2026
 
Progressive Corp dividend paid on 8th of January 2026
01/08/2026
3
How Investors Are Reacting To Progressive Split Analyst Views On Profitability And Sector Pressures
01/14/2026
4
Heres Why Progressive is a Strong Value Stock
01/16/2026
5
Far-Left House Candidate Backed By Bernie Sanders, AOC Leads Raucous Crowd In Chanting Abolish ICE
01/20/2026
6
Progressives Directly Underwritten Pet Insurance Push Could Be A Game Changer For Progressive
01/21/2026
7
RLIs Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates on Strong Net Investment Income
01/22/2026
8
Is Progressive Pricing Its Long Term Growth Potential Correctly After Recent Pullback
01/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow100 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-13.7 B

Progressive Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  19,925  in Progressive Corp on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  678.00  from holding Progressive Corp or generate 3.4% return on investment over 90 days. Progressive Corp is generating 0.0643% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.3827% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Progressive, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Progressive Corp is expected to generate 1.88 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.88 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Progressive Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Progressive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 206.03 90 days 206.03 
about 68.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Progressive Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.32 (This Progressive Corp probability density function shows the probability of Progressive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Progressive Corp has a beta of 0.22 indicating as returns on the market go up, Progressive Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Progressive Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Progressive Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Progressive Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Progressive Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Progressive Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
204.06205.44206.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
185.43227.64229.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
200.29201.67203.05
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
226.57248.98276.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Progressive Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Progressive Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Progressive Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Progressive Corp.

Progressive Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Progressive Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Progressive Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Progressive Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Progressive Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
6.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Progressive Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Progressive Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Progressive Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Progressive Corp has 6.89 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is OK given its current industry classification. Progressive Corp has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Progressive to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Progressive Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 88.0% of Progressive Corp shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of January 2026 Progressive Corp paid $ 13.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is the Rally for Intels Stock Over

Progressive Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Progressive Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Progressive Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Progressive Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding587.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments76.1 B

Progressive Corp Fundamentals Growth

Progressive Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Progressive Corp, and Progressive Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Progressive Stock performance.

About Progressive Corp Performance

Assessing Progressive Corp's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Progressive Corp's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Progressive Corp is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.30  0.15 

Things to note about Progressive Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Progressive Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Progressive Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Progressive Corp has 6.89 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is OK given its current industry classification. Progressive Corp has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Progressive to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Progressive Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 88.0% of Progressive Corp shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of January 2026 Progressive Corp paid $ 13.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is the Rally for Intels Stock Over
Evaluating Progressive Corp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Progressive Corp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Progressive Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Progressive Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Progressive Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Progressive Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Progressive Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Progressive Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Progressive Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Progressive Corp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Progressive Corp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Progressive Stock Analysis

When running Progressive Corp's price analysis, check to measure Progressive Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progressive Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Progressive Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progressive Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progressive Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progressive Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.