Progressive Corp Stock Technical Analysis
| PGR Stock | USD 208.00 0.26 0.12% |
As of the 2nd of February, Progressive Corp holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0263, semi deviation of 1.39, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3373.77. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Progressive Corp, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Progressive Corp variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Progressive Corp is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 208.0 per share. Given that Progressive Corp has jensen alpha of 0.022, we recommend you to check out Progressive Corp's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Progressive Corp Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Progressive, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ProgressiveProgressive | Build AI portfolio with Progressive Stock |
Progressive Corp Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 245.98 | Buy | 19 | Odds |
Most Progressive analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Progressive stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Progressive Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Progressive conference calls.
Can Property & Casualty Insurance industry sustain growth momentum? Does Progressive have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Progressive Corp. Anticipated expansion of Progressive directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Progressive Corp demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.252 | Dividend Share 13.9 | Earnings Share 19.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 |
Investors evaluate Progressive Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Progressive Corp's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Progressive Corp's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Progressive Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Progressive Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Progressive Corp's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Progressive Corp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Progressive Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Progressive Corp.
| 11/04/2025 |
| 02/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Progressive Corp on November 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Progressive Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Progressive Corp over 90 days. Progressive Corp is related to or competes with Foghorn Therapeutics, Pyxis Oncology, Merck, Tax Exempt, JD Sports, Nemetschek, and Alcoa Corp. The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company, provides personal and commercial auto, personal residential a... More
Progressive Corp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Progressive Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Progressive Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.94 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.24 |
Progressive Corp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Progressive Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Progressive Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Progressive Corp historical prices to predict the future Progressive Corp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0263 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.022 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1123 |
Progressive Corp February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0263 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1223 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3373.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.022 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1123 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.94 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.1 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.06) | |||
| Skewness | (0.36) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.65 |
Progressive Corp Backtested Returns
Currently, Progressive Corp is very steady. Progressive Corp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0717, which implies the firm had a 0.0717 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Progressive Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Progressive Corp's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0263, semi deviation of 1.39, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3373.77 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0977%. Progressive Corp has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 0.28, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Progressive Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Progressive Corp is expected to be smaller as well. Progressive Corp right now holds a risk of 1.36%. Please check Progressive Corp skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to decide if Progressive Corp will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
Progressive Corp has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Progressive Corp time series from 4th of November 2025 to 19th of December 2025 and 19th of December 2025 to 2nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Progressive Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Progressive Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.27 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 17.55 |
Progressive Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Progressive Corp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Progressive Corp volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Progressive Corp Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Progressive Corp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Progressive Corp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Progressive Corp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Progressive Corp. By analyzing Progressive Corp's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Progressive Corp's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Progressive Corp specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00298 | 0.004861 | 0.004375 | 0.004156 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.5 | 1.86 | 2.14 | 1.51 |
Progressive Corp February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Progressive help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Progressive from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Progressive charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0263 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1223 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3373.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.022 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1123 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.94 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.1 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.06) | |||
| Skewness | (0.36) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.65 |
Progressive Corp February 2, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Progressive stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.01 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.09) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 207.96 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 207.97 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.98 |
Additional Tools for Progressive Stock Analysis
When running Progressive Corp's price analysis, check to measure Progressive Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progressive Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Progressive Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progressive Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progressive Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progressive Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.