Refine Group (Sweden) Performance

REFINE Stock   0.18  0.01  5.26%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.31, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Refine Group will likely underperform. At this point, Refine Group AB has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to check Refine Group's sortino ratio and the relationship between the downside variance and price action indicator , to decide if Refine Group AB performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Refine Group AB has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
  

Refine Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  28.00  in Refine Group AB on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (10.00) from holding Refine Group AB or give up 35.71% of portfolio value over 90 days. Refine Group AB is generating negative expected returns and assumes 9.5039% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 85% of stocks are less volatile than Refine, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Refine Group is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 11.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Refine Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Refine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.18 90 days 0.18 
about 77.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Refine Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.31 (This Refine Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Refine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Refine Group will likely underperform. Additionally Refine Group AB has an alpha of 0.1681, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Refine Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Refine Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Refine Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Refine Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Refine Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Refine Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Refine Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Refine Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Refine Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Refine Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Refine Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Refine Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Refine Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Refine Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Things to note about Refine Group AB performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Refine Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Refine Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Refine Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Refine Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Refine Group AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Evaluating Refine Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Refine Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Refine Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Refine Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Refine Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Refine Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Refine Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Refine Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Refine Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Refine Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Refine Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Refine Stock analysis

When running Refine Group's price analysis, check to measure Refine Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Refine Group is operating at the current time. Most of Refine Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Refine Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Refine Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Refine Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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