Royal Gold Stock Performance

RGLD Stock  USD 263.31  28.67  9.82%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Royal Gold holds a performance score of 22. The company holds a Beta of 1.31, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Royal Gold will likely underperform. Please check Royal Gold's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the semi variance and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Royal Gold's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Royal Gold are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak essential indicators, Royal Gold exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(9.82)
Five Day Return
(11.94)
Year To Date Return
19.08
Ten Year Return
752.69
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0065
Payout Ratio
0.2603
Forward Dividend Rate
1.9
Dividend Date
2026-01-16
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-02
1
Royal Gold Evaluating Valuation Following 6 percent Dividend Increase and Renewed Investor Confidence
11/28/2025
2
Disposition of 970 shares by Daniel Breeze of Royal Gold at 202.23 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/04/2025
3
Does Royal Golds 51 percent 2025 Surge Still Leave Room for Further Upside
12/10/2025
4
Royal Gold Sets New 52-Week High - Whats Next - MarketBeat
12/26/2025
5
Acquisition by Raffield Martin of 1219 shares of Royal Gold subject to Rule 16b-3
01/09/2026
6
Is Royal Gold, Inc.s Stocks Recent Performance Being Led By Its Attractive Financial Prospects
01/12/2026
7
Royal Gold Provides Updates on Q4 2025 Stream Segment Sales, Balance Sheet and Non-Core Asset Rationalization, and Details for Release of Q4 2025 Results
01/13/2026
8
Royal Gold Valuation Check As Debt Falls And Royalty Portfolio Is Reworked
01/15/2026
 
Royal Gold dividend paid on 16th of January 2026
01/16/2026
9
Has Royal Gold Run Too Far After Its 1-Year 99 percent Price Surge
01/21/2026
10
Does Royal Golds 10th Straight Dividend Hike Reveal Its True Capital Allocation Priorities
01/22/2026
11
Ashley Gold Corp. Launches LIFE Charity Flow Through and Concurrent LIFE Hard Dollar, Minimum Proceeds of 800,000, Maximum Allocation of 2 Million, Plans Extens...
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow104.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-77.7 M

Royal Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  17,430  in Royal Gold on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8,901  from holding Royal Gold or generate 51.07% return on investment over 90 days. Royal Gold is currently generating 0.6992% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.5219% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Royal, and 86% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Royal Gold is expected to generate 3.4 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.28 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Royal Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Royal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 263.31 90 days 263.31 
about 11.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royal Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.25 (This Royal Gold probability density function shows the probability of Royal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Royal Gold will likely underperform. Additionally Royal Gold has an alpha of 0.5769, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Royal Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Royal Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royal Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
236.98266.25268.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
236.98299.97302.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
269.18271.70274.22
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
277.63305.09338.65
Details

Royal Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royal Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royal Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royal Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royal Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.31
σ
Overall volatility
36.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Royal Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royal Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royal Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Royal Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royal Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royal Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments195.5 M

Royal Gold Fundamentals Growth

Royal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Royal Gold, and Royal Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Royal Stock performance.

About Royal Gold Performance

By analyzing Royal Gold's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Royal Gold's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Royal Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Royal Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 55.84  80.87 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.09 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.09 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.10 

Things to note about Royal Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Royal Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Royal Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Royal Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Royal Gold's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Royal Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Royal Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Royal Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Royal Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Royal Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Royal Gold's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Royal Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Royal Gold's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Royal Gold's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Royal Stock analysis

When running Royal Gold's price analysis, check to measure Royal Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Royal Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Royal Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Royal Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Royal Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Royal Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing