Riskified Stock Performance

RSKD Stock  USD 4.40  0.01  0.23%   
The company holds a Beta of -0.22, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Riskified are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Riskified is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Riskified has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to check Riskified's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Riskified performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Riskified has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.05
Five Day Return
6.9
Year To Date Return
(6.65)
Ten Year Return
(82.73)
All Time Return
(82.73)
1
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12/09/2025
2
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12/16/2025
3
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4
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01/09/2026
5
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01/12/2026
6
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01/13/2026
7
Breakeven On The Horizon For Riskified Ltd.
02/04/2026
8
Riskified Pivoting Toward Profitability Amidst Upcoming Macro Headwinds - Seeking Alpha
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow440.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities27.8 M

Riskified Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  473.00  in Riskified on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (33.00) from holding Riskified or give up 6.98% of portfolio value over 90 days. Riskified is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.8756% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Riskified, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Riskified is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Riskified Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Riskified Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.40 90 days 4.40 
about 92.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Riskified to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.76 (This Riskified probability density function shows the probability of Riskified Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Riskified has a beta of -0.22 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Riskified are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Riskified is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Riskified has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Riskified Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Riskified

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Riskified. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.514.396.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.954.836.71
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.355.886.52
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.050.070.08
Details

Riskified Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Riskified is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Riskified's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Riskified, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Riskified within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Riskified Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Riskified for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Riskified can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Riskified generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 327.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 170.41 M.
Riskified has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Riskified Pivoting Toward Profitability Amidst Upcoming Macro Headwinds - Seeking Alpha

Riskified Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Riskified Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Riskified's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Riskified's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding170.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments376.1 M

Riskified Fundamentals Growth

Riskified Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Riskified, and Riskified fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Riskified Stock performance.

About Riskified Performance

By analyzing Riskified's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Riskified's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Riskified has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Riskified has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.06)(0.07)
Return On Capital Employed(0.10)(0.11)
Return On Assets(0.06)(0.07)
Return On Equity(0.08)(0.09)

Things to note about Riskified performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Riskified for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Riskified help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Riskified generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 327.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 170.41 M.
Riskified has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Riskified Pivoting Toward Profitability Amidst Upcoming Macro Headwinds - Seeking Alpha
Evaluating Riskified's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Riskified's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Riskified's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Riskified's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Riskified's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Riskified's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Riskified's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Riskified's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Riskified's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Riskified's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Riskified's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Riskified's price analysis, check to measure Riskified's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Riskified is operating at the current time. Most of Riskified's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Riskified's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Riskified's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Riskified to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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