Riskified Stock Price Patterns

RSKD Stock  USD 4.26  0.08  1.84%   
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Riskified's share price is approaching 42 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Riskified, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Riskified's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Riskified and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Riskified's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Riskified, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Riskified's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.102
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.186
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.272
Wall Street Target Price
5.875
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.03
Using Riskified hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Riskified from the perspective of Riskified response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Riskified using Riskified's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Riskified using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Riskified's stock price.

Riskified Implied Volatility

    
  1.01  
Riskified's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Riskified stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Riskified's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Riskified stock will not fluctuate a lot when Riskified's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Riskified to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Riskified because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Riskified after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Riskified Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Riskified Stock refer to our How to Trade Riskified Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.274.536.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.094.356.61
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.355.886.52
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.050.070.08
Details

Riskified After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Riskified at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Riskified or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Riskified, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Riskified Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Riskified's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Riskified's historical news coverage. Riskified's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.08 and 6.60, respectively. We have considered Riskified's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.26
4.34
After-hype Price
6.60
Upside
Riskified is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Riskified is based on 3 months time horizon.

Riskified Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Riskified is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Riskified backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Riskified, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
2.27
  0.01 
  0.03 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.26
4.34
0.00 
3,243  
Notes

Riskified Hype Timeline

Riskified is at this time traded for 4.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Riskified is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Riskified is about 1392.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.29. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Riskified was at this time reported as 2.06. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.23. Riskified had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Riskified Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Riskified Stock refer to our How to Trade Riskified Stock guide.

Riskified Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Riskified's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Riskified's future price movements. Getting to know how Riskified's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Riskified may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BLNDBlend Labs(0.05)9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 4.97 (6.58) 14.11 
APPSDigital Turbine 0.14 11 per month 0.00 (0.05) 6.03 (6.46) 37.27 
RDVTRed Violet 1.18 9 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.21 (3.78) 18.77 
IBTAIbotta(0.17)10 per month 0.00 (0.16) 4.14 (6.44) 33.30 
DCBODocebo Inc(0.15)7 per month 0.00 (0.26) 2.96 (3.89) 8.04 
YMTYimutian American Depositary(0.04)2 per month 5.33  0.05  12.06 (8.57) 29.18 
YMMFull Truck Alliance 0.32 8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.59 (5.02) 14.86 
VTEXVTEX 0.07 7 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.75 (4.85) 16.08 
SPTSprout Social 0.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.85 (5.32) 15.22 
OPFIOppFi Inc 0.29 26 per month 0.00 (0.04) 4.53 (3.79) 11.04 

Riskified Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Riskified price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Riskified using various technical indicators. When you analyze Riskified charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Riskified Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Riskified stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Riskified, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Riskified based on analysis of Riskified hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Riskified's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Riskified's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding57.553.2761.2767.87
PTB Ratio1.682.112.432.31

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Complementary Tools for Riskified Stock analysis

When running Riskified's price analysis, check to measure Riskified's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Riskified is operating at the current time. Most of Riskified's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Riskified's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Riskified's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Riskified to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency