Shopify (Brazil) Performance
| S2HO34 Stock | BRL 6.00 0.03 0.50% |
The entity has a beta of 0.37, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Shopify's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Shopify is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Shopify has a negative expected return of -0.43%. Please make sure to validate Shopify's maximum drawdown, potential upside, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Shopify performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Shopify has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2.7 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -2.3 B |
Shopify |
Shopify Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 803.00 in Shopify on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (200.00) from holding Shopify or give up 24.91% of portfolio value over 90 days. Shopify is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.886% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Shopify, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Shopify Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Shopify Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.00 | 90 days | 6.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shopify to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Shopify probability density function shows the probability of Shopify Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shopify has a beta of 0.37. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Shopify average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shopify will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shopify has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Shopify Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shopify
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shopify. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shopify Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shopify is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shopify's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shopify, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shopify within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Shopify Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shopify for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shopify can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shopify generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Shopify has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Shopify Fundamentals Growth
Shopify Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Shopify, and Shopify fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Shopify Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.32 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0199 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.61) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.08) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 170.04 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 152.65 B | |||
| Price To Earning | 127.54 X | |||
| Price To Book | 4.36 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 47.07 X | |||
| Revenue | 4.61 B | |||
| EBITDA | 3.21 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 7.76 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.50 X | |||
| Total Debt | 910.96 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.11 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.05 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 504.43 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.01 X | |||
| Total Asset | 13.34 B | |||
About Shopify Performance
By analyzing Shopify's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Shopify's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Shopify has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Shopify has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Shopify Inc., a commerce company, provides a commerce platform and services in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, Latin America, and internationally. Shopify Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada. SHOPIFY INC operates under SoftwareApplication classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange. It employs 7000 people.Things to note about Shopify performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shopify for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Shopify help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shopify generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Shopify has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
- Analyzing Shopify's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Shopify's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Shopify's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Shopify's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Shopify's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Shopify's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Shopify's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Shopify Stock analysis
When running Shopify's price analysis, check to measure Shopify's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shopify is operating at the current time. Most of Shopify's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shopify's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shopify's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shopify to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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