Mfs Variable Insurance Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SCREX Fund  USD 36.35  0.04  0.11%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0262, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mfs Variable's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mfs Variable is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mfs Variable Insurance are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Mfs Variable may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
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Mfs Variable Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,304  in Mfs Variable Insurance on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  331.00  from holding Mfs Variable Insurance or generate 10.02% return on investment over 90 days. Mfs Variable Insurance is currently producing 0.1656% returns and takes up 0.8612% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Mfs, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mfs Variable is expected to generate 1.15 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.15 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of risk.

Mfs Variable Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
36.35
Please note that Mfs Variable's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Mfs Variable Insurance secures a last-minute Real Value of $39.15 per share. The latest price of the fund is $36.35. We determine the value of Mfs Variable Insurance from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Mfs Variable is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Mfs Mutual Fund. However, Mfs Variable's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  36.35 Real  39.15 Hype  36.35 Naive  37.03
The intrinsic value of Mfs Variable's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Mfs Variable's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
39.15
Real Value
40.01
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Mfs Variable Insurance helps investors to forecast how Mfs mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Mfs Variable more accurately as focusing exclusively on Mfs Variable's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.7836.0147.24
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.4936.3537.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
36.1737.0337.90
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Mfs Variable Insurance extending back to January 10, 2001. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Mfs Variable stands at 36.35, as last reported on the 20th of February, with the highest price reaching 36.35 and the lowest price hitting 36.35 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Mfs Variable Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mfs Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 36.35 90 days 36.35 
about 1.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mfs Variable to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.08 (This Mfs Variable Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Mfs Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mfs Variable has a beta of 0.0262. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Mfs Variable average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mfs Variable Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mfs Variable Insurance has an alpha of 0.1326, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mfs Variable Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mfs Variable

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mfs Variable Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mfs Variable's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.4936.3537.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.7239.1540.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.1737.0337.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.7836.0147.24
Details

Mfs Variable Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mfs Variable is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mfs Variable's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mfs Variable Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mfs Variable within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Mfs Variable Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mfs Variable for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mfs Variable Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Mfs Variable Fundamentals Growth

Mfs Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mfs Variable, and Mfs Variable fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mfs Mutual Fund performance.

About Mfs Variable Performance

Evaluating Mfs Variable's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Mfs Variable has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Mfs Variable has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
To pursue its investment objective, the fund will invest, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of real estate and real estate-related companies, or in companies which own significant real estate assets at the time of purchase including Real Estate Investment Trusts .

Things to note about Mfs Variable Insurance performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mfs Variable for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Mfs Variable Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Mfs Variable's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mfs Variable's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Mfs Variable's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mfs Variable's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mfs Variable's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mfs Variable's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mfs Variable's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mfs Variable's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Mfs Variable's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mfs Variable's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mfs Variable's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Variable financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Variable security.
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