Security Bancorp Stock Performance

SCYT Stock  USD 91.00  4.02  4.23%   
Security Bancorp has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.1, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Security Bancorp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Security Bancorp is expected to be smaller as well. Security Bancorp right now has a risk of 1.44%. Please validate Security Bancorp coefficient of variation, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and price action indicator , to decide if Security Bancorp will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Security Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Security Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
  

Security Bancorp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,200  in Security Bancorp on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  900.00  from holding Security Bancorp or generate 10.98% return on investment over 90 days. Security Bancorp is currently generating 0.1778% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.436% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of pink sheets are less volatile than Security, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Security Bancorp is expected to generate 1.91 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.91 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Security Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Security Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 91.00 90 days 91.00 
about 35.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Security Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 35.59 (This Security Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Security Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Security Bancorp has a beta of 0.1. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Security Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Security Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Security Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1519, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Security Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Security Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Security Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Security Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.5691.0092.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.9098.73100.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.3589.7891.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.5694.0596.54
Details

Security Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Security Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Security Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Security Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Security Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
5.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Security Bancorp Fundamentals Growth

Security Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Security Bancorp, and Security Bancorp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Security Pink Sheet performance.

About Security Bancorp Performance

Assessing Security Bancorp's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Security Bancorp's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Security Bancorp is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Security Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Security Federal Savings Bank that provides banking products and services to individual and corporate customers in Tennessee. Security Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in McMinnville, Tennessee. SECURITY BANCORP is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Security Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Security Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Security Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Security Bancorp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Security Bancorp's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Security Bancorp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Security Bancorp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Security Bancorp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Security Bancorp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Security Bancorp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Security Bancorp's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Security Bancorp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Security Bancorp's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Security Bancorp's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Security Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Security Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Security Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Security Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Security Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Security Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Security Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Security Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.