Steven Madden Stock Performance

SHOO Stock  USD 39.16  0.27  0.68%   
Steven Madden has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.46, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Steven Madden will likely underperform. Steven Madden right now has a risk of 2.88%. Please validate Steven Madden potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if Steven Madden will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Steven Madden are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Steven Madden may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.61
Five Day Return
0.92
Year To Date Return
(6.56)
Ten Year Return
73.85
All Time Return
3.8 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0214
Payout Ratio
0.6829
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
0.84
Dividend Date
2025-12-26
1
Disposition of 3000 shares by Migliorini Peter of Steven Madden at 42.142 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
2
Steven Madden EVP Trades 105K In Company Stock
11/26/2025
3
Disposition of 2712 shares by Reed Arian Simone of Steven Madden at 44.8 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/11/2025
 
Steven Madden dividend paid on 26th of December 2025
12/26/2025
4
Disposition of 1933 shares by Zine Mazouzi of Steven Madden at 42.2 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
5
Steven Madden shareholders notch a 12 percent CAGR over 3 years, yet earnings have been shrinking
01/07/2026
6
Steven Madden shares soar 71 percent after InvestingPros undervalued call By Investing.com - Investing.com
01/09/2026
7
Margin Headwinds Strengthen Will Tariff Mitigation Be Enough for NKE
01/14/2026
8
Steven Madden Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Heres Why - MarketBeat
01/23/2026
9
Disposition of 1589 shares by Lisa Keith of Steven Madden at 43.88 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
10
Disposition of 361 shares by Zine Mazouzi of Steven Madden at 41.61 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
11
Why Steven Madden Shares Are Getting Obliterated Today
02/05/2026
12
Can Steve Madden Offset Private-Label Pressures With Its Core Brand Strength
02/10/2026
13
Assessing Steven Madden Valuation As Growth Slows And Returns On Capital Weaken
02/17/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow204.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-39.5 M

Steven Madden Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,769  in Steven Madden on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  174.00  from holding Steven Madden or generate 4.62% return on investment over 90 days. Steven Madden is currently generating 0.1185% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.8821% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Steven, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Steven Madden is expected to generate 1.18 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.84 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.19 per unit of volatility.

Steven Madden Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Steven Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.16 90 days 39.16 
about 83.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Steven Madden to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.39 (This Steven Madden probability density function shows the probability of Steven Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.46 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Steven Madden will likely underperform. Additionally Steven Madden has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Steven Madden Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Steven Madden

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Steven Madden. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.1939.0741.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.2042.9745.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.4440.3243.20
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
42.7747.0052.17
Details

Steven Madden Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Steven Madden is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Steven Madden's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Steven Madden, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Steven Madden within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.005
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.46
σ
Overall volatility
2.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Steven Madden Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Steven Madden for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Steven Madden can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 26th of December 2025 Steven Madden paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Steven Madden Valuation As Growth Slows And Returns On Capital Weaken

Steven Madden Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Steven Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Steven Madden's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Steven Madden's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72 M
Cash And Short Term Investments203.4 M

Steven Madden Fundamentals Growth

Steven Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Steven Madden, and Steven Madden fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Steven Stock performance.

About Steven Madden Performance

By examining Steven Madden's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Steven Madden's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Steven Madden is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 62.88  37.49 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.14  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.26  0.30 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.12 

Things to note about Steven Madden performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Steven Madden for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Steven Madden help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 26th of December 2025 Steven Madden paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Steven Madden Valuation As Growth Slows And Returns On Capital Weaken
Evaluating Steven Madden's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Steven Madden's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Steven Madden's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Steven Madden's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Steven Madden's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Steven Madden's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Steven Madden's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Steven Madden's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Steven Madden's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Steven Madden's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Steven Madden's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Steven Madden offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Steven Madden's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Steven Madden Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Steven Madden Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Steven Madden. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Steven Stock, please use our How to Invest in Steven Madden guide.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Will Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector continue expanding? Could Steven diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Steven Madden. If investors know Steven will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Steven Madden data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.62)
Dividend Share
0.84
Earnings Share
0.78
Revenue Per Share
33.384
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.069
Investors evaluate Steven Madden using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Steven Madden's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Steven Madden's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Steven Madden's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Steven Madden is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Steven Madden's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.