Semtech (Germany) Performance

SM2 Stock  EUR 71.86  1.66  2.26%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Semtech holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of 0.41, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Semtech's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Semtech is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Semtech's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Semtech's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Semtech are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Semtech reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
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Semtech Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,750  in Semtech on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,436  from holding Semtech or generate 24.97% return on investment over 90 days. Semtech is currently producing 0.436% returns and takes up 3.8207% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 34% of traded stocks are less volatile than Semtech, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Semtech is expected to generate 5.16 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.16 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Semtech Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Semtech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 71.86 90 days 71.86 
about 12.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Semtech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.33 (This Semtech probability density function shows the probability of Semtech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Semtech has a beta of 0.41. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Semtech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Semtech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Semtech has an alpha of 0.3963, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Semtech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Semtech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Semtech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.8271.6475.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.6568.4772.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
68.1972.0175.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.700.720.73
Details

Semtech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Semtech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Semtech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Semtech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Semtech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
5.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Semtech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Semtech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Semtech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Semtech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 909.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (161.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 543.28 M.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Sell Walsh Paul V Jr Sells 500 Shares of Semtech Corp - GuruFocus

Semtech Fundamentals Growth

Semtech Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Semtech, and Semtech fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Semtech Stock performance.

About Semtech Performance

By analyzing Semtech's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Semtech's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Semtech has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Semtech has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Semtech Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products and advanced algorithms. Semtech Corporation was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Camarillo, California. Semtech operates under Semiconductors classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 1282 people.

Things to note about Semtech performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Semtech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Semtech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Semtech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 909.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (161.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 543.28 M.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Sell Walsh Paul V Jr Sells 500 Shares of Semtech Corp - GuruFocus
Evaluating Semtech's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Semtech's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Semtech's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Semtech's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Semtech's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Semtech's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Semtech's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Semtech's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Semtech's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Semtech's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Semtech's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Semtech Stock analysis

When running Semtech's price analysis, check to measure Semtech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Semtech is operating at the current time. Most of Semtech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Semtech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Semtech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Semtech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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