Simply Good Foods Stock Performance
| SMPL Stock | USD 17.37 0.36 2.03% |
The entity has a beta of -0.0234, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Simply Good are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Simply Good is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Simply Good Foods has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to validate Simply Good's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Simply Good Foods performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Simply Good Foods has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.03) | Five Day Return (7.90) | Year To Date Return (11.20) | Ten Year Return 44.75 | All Time Return 44.75 |
Dividend Date 2015-02-20 |
1 | Insider Trading | 11/07/2025 |
2 | Simply Good Foods reaffirms 2026 outlook with targeted share repurchases and margin improvement plans | 01/08/2026 |
3 | Wall Street Analysts Believe Simply Good Foods Could Rally 36.41 percent Heres is How to Trade | 01/14/2026 |
4 | Investors Can Find Comfort In Simply Good Foods Earnings Quality | 01/20/2026 |
5 | The Simply Good Foods Company Given Average Rating of Hold by Analysts | 01/21/2026 |
6 | Is Joe Scalzos Return to Simply Good Foods Altering The Investment Case For Simply Good Foods | 01/22/2026 |
7 | The Simply Good Foods Company Reports CEO Inducement Grant Under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635 | 01/23/2026 |
8 | Is There Now An Opportunity In Simply Good Foods After A 49 percent Share Price Slide | 01/27/2026 |
9 | Acquisition by White James D of 6500 shares of Simply Good subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 132.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -20.9 M |
Simply Good Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,922 in Simply Good Foods on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (185.00) from holding Simply Good Foods or give up 9.63% of portfolio value over 90 days. Simply Good Foods is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.1566% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Simply, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Simply Good Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Simply Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 17.37 | 90 days | 17.37 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Simply Good to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Simply Good Foods probability density function shows the probability of Simply Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Simply Good Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Simply Good
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Simply Good Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Simply Good Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Simply Good is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Simply Good's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Simply Good Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Simply Good within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Simply Good Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Simply Good for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Simply Good Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Simply Good Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insider Trading |
Simply Good Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Simply Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Simply Good's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Simply Good's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 98.5 M |
Simply Good Fundamentals Growth
Simply Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Simply Good, and Simply Good fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Simply Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0517 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0574 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.93 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 92.58 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 55.24 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.91 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.16 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.45 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 506.57 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 182.91 M | ||||
| Net Income | 103.61 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 67.49 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.68 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 304.43 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.32 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.44 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 18.25 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 178.46 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.93 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.68 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.4 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 590.88 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 329.12 M | ||||
About Simply Good Performance
By examining Simply Good's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Simply Good's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Simply Good is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 61.99 | 42.27 |
Things to note about Simply Good Foods performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Simply Good for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Simply Good Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Simply Good Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insider Trading |
- Analyzing Simply Good's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Simply Good's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Simply Good's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Simply Good's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Simply Good's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Simply Good's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Simply Good's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Simply Good Foods. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Simply Good. If investors know Simply will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Simply Good assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share 0.93 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Simply Good Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Simply that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Simply Good's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Simply Good's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Simply Good's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Simply Good's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simply Good's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Simply Good is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Simply Good's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.