Semtech Stock Performance
| SMTC Stock | USD 86.50 4.62 5.64% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Semtech holds a performance score of 6. The entity has a beta of 0.5, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Semtech's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Semtech is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Semtech's downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Semtech's existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Semtech are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain basic indicators, Semtech exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.61 | Five Day Return 0.82 | Year To Date Return 10.55 | Ten Year Return 380.65 | All Time Return 7.1 K |
Last Split Factor 2:1 | Ex Dividend Date 1980-09-05 | Last Split Date 2000-09-26 |
1 | Disposition of 10000 shares by Hong Hou of Semtech at 74.0768 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/03/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 2438 shares by Hong Hou of Semtech at 73.69 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
3 | Disposition of 1333 shares by Mark Lin of Semtech at 76.2 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/05/2026 |
4 | Semtech Insider John Michael Wilson Sells 5,000 Shares | 01/14/2026 |
5 | Semtech Valuation Check After Strong Q3 And AI Driven Re Rating | 01/16/2026 |
6 | Semtech Corporation Long-Term Shareholder Announcement Johnson Fistel Encourages Investors to Reach Out For More Information About Investigation | 01/20/2026 |
7 | IoT Asset Tracking Monitoring Market to Double by 2032 with Real-Time Visibility and Predictive Workflows Leading the Way | 01/23/2026 |
8 | High-Reliability Semiconductors Market Poised for 5.1 percent CAGR by 2030, Driven by Autonomous Systems Demand | 01/27/2026 |
9 | Getac to Showcase AI-Powered Solutions for Utility Field Operations at DTECH 2026 | 01/28/2026 |
10 | Assessing Semtech Valuation After Strong MultiYear Share Price Momentum | 01/30/2026 |
11 | MACOM, Seagate, and Semtech Shares Plummet, What You Need To Know | 02/04/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 128.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -11.9 M |
Semtech Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 7,527 in Semtech on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,123 from holding Semtech or generate 14.92% return on investment over 90 days. Semtech is currently generating 0.2932% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.6495% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 32% of stocks are less volatile than Semtech, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Semtech Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Semtech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 86.50 | 90 days | 86.50 | about 1.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Semtech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.65 (This Semtech probability density function shows the probability of Semtech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Semtech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Semtech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Semtech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Semtech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Semtech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Semtech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Semtech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Semtech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Semtech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Semtech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Semtech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Semtech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Semtech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 909.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (161.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 543.28 M. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from stockstory.org: MACOM, Seagate, and Semtech Shares Plummet, What You Need To Know |
Semtech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Semtech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Semtech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Semtech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 164.5 M |
Semtech Fundamentals Growth
Semtech Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Semtech, and Semtech fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Semtech Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0563 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 7.9 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 92.54 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 32.54 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 13.39 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 7.50 X | ||||
| Revenue | 909.29 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 543.28 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 115.07 M | ||||
| Net Income | (161.9 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 376.07 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.92 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 551.5 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.24 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 4.12 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.13 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 57.99 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.56 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 7.7 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.42 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (395.69 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 302.43 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 341.22 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 103.89 M | ||||
About Semtech Performance
By analyzing Semtech's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Semtech's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Semtech has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Semtech has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 118.70 | 90.27 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.22) | (0.21) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.05 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.13) | (0.12) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.27) | (0.26) |
Things to note about Semtech performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Semtech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Semtech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Semtech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 909.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (161.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 543.28 M. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from stockstory.org: MACOM, Seagate, and Semtech Shares Plummet, What You Need To Know |
- Analyzing Semtech's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Semtech's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Semtech's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Semtech's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Semtech's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Semtech's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Semtech's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Semtech Stock analysis
When running Semtech's price analysis, check to measure Semtech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Semtech is operating at the current time. Most of Semtech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Semtech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Semtech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Semtech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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