1st Source Stock Performance
| SRCE Stock | USD 70.45 0.62 0.89% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, 1st Source holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.52, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 1st Source's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 1st Source is expected to be smaller as well. Please check 1st Source's value at risk, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether 1st Source's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in 1st Source are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak fundamental indicators, 1st Source exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
| 1st Source dividend paid on 14th of November 2025 | 11/14/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 129.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -276.6 M |
1st Source Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 6,085 in 1st Source on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 960.00 from holding 1st Source or generate 15.78% return on investment over 90 days. 1st Source is currently generating 0.2485% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.2793% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than 1st, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
1st Source Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of 1st Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 70.45 | 90 days | 70.45 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1st Source to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This 1st Source probability density function shows the probability of 1st Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
1st Source Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 1st Source
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1st Source. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1st Source's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
1st Source Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1st Source is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1st Source's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1st Source, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1st Source within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
1st Source Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1st Source for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1st Source can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 1st Source has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
1st Source Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1st Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 1st Source's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 1st Source's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
1st Source Fundamentals Growth
1st Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of 1st Source, and 1st Source fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on 1st Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0176 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.38 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.50 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.96 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 24.37 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 15.73 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.31 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 4.04 X | ||||
| Revenue | 600 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 214.03 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 144.52 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.86 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 126.15 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 7.06 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 52.32 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 193.85 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 6.50 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 9.06 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.02 B | ||||
About 1st Source Performance
By analyzing 1st Source's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into 1st Source's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if 1st Source has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if 1st Source has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
1st Source Corporation operates as the bank holding company for 1st Source Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services, trust and wealth advisory services, and insurance products to individual and business clients. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated through 79 banking centers in 18 counties in Indiana and Michigan, as well as Sarasota County in Florida. 1st Source Corporation was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in South Bend, Indiana. 1st Source operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1130 people.Things to note about 1st Source performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about 1st Source for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for 1st Source help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 1st Source has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing 1st Source's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether 1st Source's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining 1st Source's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating 1st Source's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of 1st Source's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of 1st Source's stock. These opinions can provide insight into 1st Source's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for 1st Stock analysis
When running 1st Source's price analysis, check to measure 1st Source's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1st Source is operating at the current time. Most of 1st Source's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1st Source's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1st Source's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1st Source to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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