Trilogy Metals Stock Performance
| TMQ Stock | USD 6.52 0.31 4.99% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Trilogy Metals holds a performance score of 11. The entity has a beta of 1.44, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Trilogy Metals will likely underperform. Please check Trilogy Metals' maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Trilogy Metals' existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Trilogy Metals are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak primary indicators, Trilogy Metals reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 4.99 | Five Day Return 17.69 | Year To Date Return 42.05 | Ten Year Return 2.8 K | All Time Return 38.14 |
1 | Acquisition by Elaine Sanders of 175000 shares of Trilogy Metals subject to Rule 16b-3 | 10/28/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by James Gowans of 3701 shares of Trilogy Metals subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/01/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 50000 shares by Gregory Lang of Trilogy Metals at 1.82 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/05/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 20000 shares by Gregory Lang of Trilogy Metals at 4.73 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/08/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by James Gowans of 50000 shares of Trilogy Metals at 4.61 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/11/2025 |
6 | USARs Margins Hurt by High Project Development Costs Whats Ahead | 12/16/2025 |
7 | Trilogy Metals Valuation Check After 2026 Ambler Plan and New US Federal Funding - simplywall.st | 12/19/2025 |
8 | Disposition of 416666 shares by Kaplan Thomas Scott of Trilogy Metals subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/26/2025 |
9 | Can USARs Stillwater Facility Power Its Next Phase of Strength | 01/06/2026 |
10 | Disposition of 50000 shares by William Hayden of Trilogy Metals at 0.56 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/09/2026 |
11 | Heres How Much 100 Invested In Trilogy Metals 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today - Sahm | 01/15/2026 |
12 | Trilogy Metals Stock Company Appoints Strategic Advisor After Federal Investment - Blockonomi | 01/26/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 25 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -1.8 M |
Trilogy Metals Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 474.00 in Trilogy Metals on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 178.00 from holding Trilogy Metals or generate 37.55% return on investment over 90 days. Trilogy Metals is generating 0.6291% of daily returns assuming volatility of 4.4479% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 39% of stocks are less volatile than Trilogy, and above 88% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Trilogy Metals Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Trilogy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.52 | 90 days | 6.52 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trilogy Metals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Trilogy Metals probability density function shows the probability of Trilogy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Trilogy Metals will likely underperform. Additionally Trilogy Metals has an alpha of 0.2644, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Trilogy Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Trilogy Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trilogy Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Trilogy Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trilogy Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trilogy Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trilogy Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trilogy Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Trilogy Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trilogy Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trilogy Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trilogy Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (8.35 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (2.61 M). | |
| Trilogy Metals has about 3.62 M in cash with (1.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: NB Bancorp, Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results, Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Announces Share Repurchase Plan |
Trilogy Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trilogy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trilogy Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trilogy Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 159.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.8 M |
Trilogy Metals Fundamentals Growth
Trilogy Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trilogy Metals, and Trilogy Metals fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trilogy Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.07 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0356 | |||
| Current Valuation | 1.03 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 171.06 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 2.06 X | |||
| Price To Book | 8.26 X | |||
| Gross Profit | (2.61 M) | |||
| EBITDA | (8.35 M) | |||
| Net Income | (8.35 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.62 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.03 X | |||
| Total Debt | 147 K | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 5.25 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.78 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.83 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.06) X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 1.06 B | |||
| Total Asset | 133.7 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (90.31 M) | |||
| Working Capital | 25.25 M | |||
| Current Asset | 16.89 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 751 K | |||
About Trilogy Metals Performance
Assessing Trilogy Metals' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Trilogy Metals' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Trilogy Metals is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | -12.6 K | -12 K | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.06) | (0.06) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.04) | (0.05) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.06) | (0.06) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.06) | (0.06) |
Things to note about Trilogy Metals performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trilogy Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Trilogy Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trilogy Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (8.35 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (2.61 M). | |
| Trilogy Metals has about 3.62 M in cash with (1.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: NB Bancorp, Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results, Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Announces Share Repurchase Plan |
- Analyzing Trilogy Metals' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trilogy Metals' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Trilogy Metals' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Trilogy Metals' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trilogy Metals' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trilogy Metals' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Trilogy Metals' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Trilogy Stock Analysis
When running Trilogy Metals' price analysis, check to measure Trilogy Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trilogy Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Trilogy Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trilogy Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trilogy Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trilogy Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.