Trilogy Metals Stock Technical Analysis
| TMQ Stock | USD 5.04 0.97 16.14% |
As of the 2nd of February, Trilogy Metals has the Coefficient Of Variation of 3535.53, semi deviation of 5.11, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.029. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Trilogy Metals, as well as the relationship between them.
Trilogy Metals Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Trilogy, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TrilogyTrilogy Metals' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Trilogy Metals Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 7.91 | Buy | 6 | Odds |
Most Trilogy analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Trilogy stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Trilogy Metals, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Trilogy conference calls.
Can Diversified Metals & Mining industry sustain growth momentum? Does Trilogy have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trilogy Metals. If investors know Trilogy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Trilogy Metals demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Trilogy Metals's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Trilogy's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Trilogy Metals' intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Trilogy Metals' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trilogy Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trilogy Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trilogy Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Trilogy Metals 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Trilogy Metals' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Trilogy Metals.
| 11/04/2025 |
| 02/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Trilogy Metals on November 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Trilogy Metals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Trilogy Metals over 90 days. Trilogy Metals is related to or competes with Lithium Argentina, Nexa Resources, Compass Minerals, Standard Lithium, Sigma Lithium, Cementos Pacasmayo, and TMC The. Trilogy Metals Inc., a base metals exploration company, explores for and develops mineral properties in the United State... More
Trilogy Metals Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Trilogy Metals' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Trilogy Metals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.46 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0194 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.29 |
Trilogy Metals Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Trilogy Metals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Trilogy Metals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Trilogy Metals historical prices to predict the future Trilogy Metals' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.029 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0892 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0179 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1064 |
Trilogy Metals February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.029 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1164 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.11 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.46 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3535.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.05 | |||
| Variance | 25.49 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0194 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0892 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0179 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1064 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 29.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 26.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.03) | |||
| Skewness | (0.43) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.17 |
Trilogy Metals Backtested Returns
Trilogy Metals appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Trilogy Metals owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0999, which indicates the firm had a 0.0999 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Trilogy Metals' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.5% is justified by implied risk. Please review Trilogy Metals' Semi Deviation of 5.11, coefficient of variation of 3535.53, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.029 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Trilogy Metals holds a performance score of 7. The entity has a beta of 1.25, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Trilogy Metals will likely underperform. Please check Trilogy Metals' maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Trilogy Metals' existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.69 |
Good predictability
Trilogy Metals has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Trilogy Metals time series from 4th of November 2025 to 19th of December 2025 and 19th of December 2025 to 2nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Trilogy Metals price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Trilogy Metals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.69 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.4 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.46 |
Trilogy Metals technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Trilogy Metals Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Trilogy Metals volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Trilogy Metals Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Trilogy Metals on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trilogy Metals based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Trilogy Metals price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Trilogy Metals. By analyzing Trilogy Metals's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Trilogy Metals's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Trilogy Metals specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 6.72 | 8.56 | PTB Ratio | 1.7 | 1.62 |
Trilogy Metals February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Trilogy help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trilogy from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Trilogy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.029 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1164 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.11 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.46 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3535.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.05 | |||
| Variance | 25.49 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0194 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0892 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0179 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1064 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.64) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 29.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 26.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.03) | |||
| Skewness | (0.43) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.17 |
Trilogy Metals February 2, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Trilogy stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.14 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.17) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.84 | ||
| Day Median Price | 5.43 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 5.30 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.87) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.83 |
Additional Tools for Trilogy Stock Analysis
When running Trilogy Metals' price analysis, check to measure Trilogy Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trilogy Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Trilogy Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trilogy Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trilogy Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trilogy Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.