Timothy Small Cap Value Fund Technical Analysis

TPVIX Fund  USD 19.53  0.11  0.56%   
As of the 1st of February, Timothy Small-cap has the Semi Deviation of 0.6043, coefficient of variation of 597.01, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1254. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Timothy Small Cap, as well as the relationship between them.

Timothy Small-cap Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Timothy, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Timothy
  
Timothy Small-cap's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timothy Small-cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timothy Small-cap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timothy Small-cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Timothy Small-cap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Timothy Small-cap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Timothy Small-cap.
0.00
11/03/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/01/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Timothy Small-cap on November 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Timothy Small Cap Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Timothy Small-cap over 90 days. Timothy Small-cap is related to or competes with Walden Midcap, Europac International, Nationwide Highmark, Advisors Capital, Nationwide Highmark, Touchstone Large, and Third Avenue. The investment seeks long-term growth of capital, with a secondary objective of current income More

Timothy Small-cap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Timothy Small-cap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Timothy Small Cap Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Timothy Small-cap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timothy Small-cap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Timothy Small-cap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Timothy Small-cap historical prices to predict the future Timothy Small-cap's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.9818.2521.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.3120.5821.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0519.3120.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.5619.4620.36
Details

Timothy Small-cap February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators

Timothy Small Cap Backtested Returns

Timothy Small-cap appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Timothy Small Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.17, which indicates the fund had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Timothy Small Cap Value, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review Timothy Small-cap's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1254, semi deviation of 0.6043, and Coefficient Of Variation of 597.01 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of -0.0357, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Timothy Small-cap are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Timothy Small-cap is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.48  

Average predictability

Timothy Small Cap Value has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Timothy Small-cap time series from 3rd of November 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Timothy Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Timothy Small-cap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.48
Spearman Rank Test0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.21
Timothy Small-cap technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Timothy Small-cap technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Timothy Small-cap trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Timothy Small Cap Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Timothy Small Cap volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Timothy Small-cap Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Timothy Small Cap Value on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Timothy Small Cap Value based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on Timothy Small Cap price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Timothy Small Cap. By analyzing Timothy Small-cap's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Timothy Small-cap's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Timothy Small-cap specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Timothy Small-cap February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Timothy help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Timothy from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Timothy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Timothy Small-cap February 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Timothy stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Small-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Small-cap security.
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