Timothy Small Cap Value Fund Technical Analysis
| TPVIX Fund | USD 19.53 0.11 0.56% |
As of the 31st of January, Timothy Small-cap has the Coefficient Of Variation of 796.31, risk adjusted performance of 0.0954, and Semi Deviation of 0.6842. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Timothy Small Cap, as well as the relationship between them.
Timothy Small-cap Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Timothy, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TimothyTimothy |
Timothy Small-cap 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Timothy Small-cap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Timothy Small-cap.
| 11/02/2025 |
| 01/31/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Timothy Small-cap on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Timothy Small Cap Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Timothy Small-cap over 90 days. Timothy Small-cap is related to or competes with Walden Midcap, Europac International, Nationwide Highmark, Advisors Capital, Nationwide Highmark, Touchstone Large, and Third Avenue. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by primarily investing at least 80 percent of its total assets in U.S More
Timothy Small-cap Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Timothy Small-cap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Timothy Small Cap Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.8865 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0767 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.78 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.37 |
Timothy Small-cap Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timothy Small-cap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Timothy Small-cap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Timothy Small-cap historical prices to predict the future Timothy Small-cap's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0954 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0831 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0589 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1087 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1174 |
Timothy Small-cap January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0954 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1274 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8546 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6842 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.8865 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 796.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0767 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0831 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0589 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1087 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1174 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.78 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7858 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4681 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.16) | |||
| Skewness | 1.67 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.81 |
Timothy Small Cap Backtested Returns
Timothy Small-cap appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Timothy Small Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.17, which indicates the fund had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Timothy Small Cap Value, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review Timothy Small-cap's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0954, coefficient of variation of 796.31, and Semi Deviation of 0.6842 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 1.26, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Timothy Small-cap will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.55 |
Modest predictability
Timothy Small Cap Value has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Timothy Small-cap time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Timothy Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Timothy Small-cap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.55 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.73 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.22 |
Timothy Small-cap technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Timothy Small Cap Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Timothy Small Cap volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Timothy Small-cap Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Timothy Small Cap Value on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Timothy Small Cap Value based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on Timothy Small Cap price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Timothy Small Cap. By analyzing Timothy Small-cap's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Timothy Small-cap's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Timothy Small-cap specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Timothy Small-cap January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Timothy help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Timothy from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Timothy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0954 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1274 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8546 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6842 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.8865 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 796.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0767 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0831 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0589 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1087 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1174 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.78 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7858 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4681 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.16) | |||
| Skewness | 1.67 | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.81 |
Timothy Small-cap January 31, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Timothy stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 19.53 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 19.53 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.05) |
Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund
Timothy Small-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Small-cap security.
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