OriginTrail Performance

TRAC Crypto  USD 0.33  0.03  8.33%   
The crypto holds a Beta of -0.55, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning OriginTrail are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, OriginTrail is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days OriginTrail has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Crypto's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for OriginTrail shareholders. ...more
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The Best Cryptocurrency to Buy With 50 Right Now - The Motley Fool
01/30/2026
  

OriginTrail Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  56.00  in OriginTrail on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (23.00) from holding OriginTrail or give up 41.07% of portfolio value over 90 days. OriginTrail is generating negative expected returns and assumes 6.5531% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 58% of crypto coins are less volatile than OriginTrail, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OriginTrail is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.78 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

OriginTrail Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of OriginTrail Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.33 90 days 0.33 
about 87.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OriginTrail to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.91 (This OriginTrail probability density function shows the probability of OriginTrail Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OriginTrail has a beta of -0.55. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OriginTrail are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OriginTrail is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OriginTrail has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   OriginTrail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OriginTrail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OriginTrail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.326.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.326.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.396.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.130.330.54
Details

OriginTrail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OriginTrail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OriginTrail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OriginTrail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OriginTrail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

OriginTrail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OriginTrail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OriginTrail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OriginTrail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
OriginTrail has high historical volatility and very poor performance
OriginTrail has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
Latest headline from news.google.com: The Best Cryptocurrency to Buy With 50 Right Now - The Motley Fool

About OriginTrail Performance

By analyzing OriginTrail's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into OriginTrail's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if OriginTrail has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if OriginTrail has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
OriginTrail is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
OriginTrail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
OriginTrail has high historical volatility and very poor performance
OriginTrail has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
Latest headline from news.google.com: The Best Cryptocurrency to Buy With 50 Right Now - The Motley Fool
When determining whether OriginTrail offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of OriginTrail's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Origintrail Crypto.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in OriginTrail. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OriginTrail's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine OriginTrail value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, OriginTrail's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.