OriginTrail Price Patterns
| TRAC Crypto | USD 0.35 0.02 5.41% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using OriginTrail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OriginTrail from the perspective of OriginTrail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OriginTrail to buy its crypto coin at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OriginTrail because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell crypto coins at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
OriginTrail after-hype prediction price | .CC 0.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
OriginTrail |
OriginTrail After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OriginTrail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OriginTrail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of OriginTrail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OriginTrail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OriginTrail's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OriginTrail's historical news coverage. OriginTrail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 7.73, respectively. We have considered OriginTrail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OriginTrail is unreasonably risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OriginTrail is based on 3 months time horizon.
OriginTrail Crypto Coin Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as OriginTrail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OriginTrail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OriginTrail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 7.21 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.35 | 0.48 | 30.58 |
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OriginTrail Hype Timeline
OriginTrail is at this time traded for 0.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. OriginTrail is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is anticipated to be 30.58%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on OriginTrail is about 159450.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.35. Debt can assist OriginTrail until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, OriginTrail's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like OriginTrail sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for OriginTrail to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about OriginTrail's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out OriginTrail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.OriginTrail Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OriginTrail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OriginTrail's future price movements. Getting to know how OriginTrail's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OriginTrail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRAC | OriginTrail | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 11.48 | (11.48) | 44.33 | |
| CCD | Concordium | 0.0001 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 12.03 | (12.77) | 33.15 | |
| STETH | Staked Ether | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.45 | (6.37) | 20.42 | |
| EIGEN | EigenLayer | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 9.09 | (10.00) | 30.00 | |
| EOSDAC | EOSDAC | 0.000004 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.33 | (6.31) | 20.39 | |
| BLZ | BLZ | (0.0008) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 18.07 | (12.43) | 37.84 | |
| MORPHO | Morpho | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.98 | (9.09) | 25.26 | |
| DIA | DIA | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 7.69 | (9.52) | 30.57 | |
| EM | EM | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
OriginTrail Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OriginTrail price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OriginTrail using various technical indicators. When you analyze OriginTrail charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Average Price | ||
| Median Price | ||
| Typical Price | ||
| Weighted Close Price | ||
| Average True Range | ||
| Normalized Average True Range | ||
| True Range | ||
| Chaikin AD Line | ||
| Chaikin AD Oscillator | ||
| On Balance Volume |
The successful prediction of OriginTrail price could yield a significant profit to cryptocurrency investors. Theoretically, the cryptocurrency market should be highly efficient, with prices reflecting the accessible real-world information almost immediately. The crypto trading ecosystem has experienced unprecedented growth over the last few years and continues accelerating irrespective of its volatilities and bubbles. In general, OriginTrail and other cryptocurrencies react quickly to the market and adjust based on demand and supply. This implies that the cryptocurrency market is highly efficient, with prices reflecting the accessible real-world information almost immediately. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OriginTrail based on OriginTrail hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OriginTrail's market risk using different technical indicators and then compare them to OriginTrail's related cryptocurrency tokens.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether OriginTrail offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of OriginTrail's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Origintrail Crypto.Check out OriginTrail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.