Trade Desk Stock Performance

TTD Stock  USD 30.33  0.92  2.94%   
The entity has a beta of 1.15, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Trade Desk returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Trade Desk is expected to follow. At this point, Trade Desk has a negative expected return of -0.76%. Please make sure to validate Trade Desk's treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Trade Desk performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Trade Desk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.94)
Five Day Return
(16.31)
Year To Date Return
(19.51)
Ten Year Return
907.64
All Time Return
907.64
Last Split Factor
10:1
Last Split Date
2021-06-17
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Begin Period Cash Flow895.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-157.5 M

Trade Desk Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,912  in Trade Desk on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,879) from holding Trade Desk or give up 38.25% of portfolio value over 90 days. Trade Desk is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.5152% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Trade, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Trade Desk is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.37 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.3 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Trade Desk Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Trade Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.33 90 days 30.33 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trade Desk to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Trade Desk probability density function shows the probability of Trade Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.15 . This usually implies Trade Desk market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Trade Desk is expected to follow. Additionally Trade Desk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Trade Desk Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trade Desk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trade Desk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trade Desk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.6331.1533.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.3036.1838.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.5128.0330.54
Details
41 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
50.8255.8561.99
Details

Trade Desk Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trade Desk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trade Desk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trade Desk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trade Desk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.81
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.15
σ
Overall volatility
4.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Trade Desk Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trade Desk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trade Desk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trade Desk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trade Desk has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Optimism for Trade Desk Following Solid Results Preview

Trade Desk Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trade Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trade Desk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trade Desk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding501.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Trade Desk Fundamentals Growth

Trade Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trade Desk, and Trade Desk fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trade Stock performance.

About Trade Desk Performance

By analyzing Trade Desk's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Trade Desk's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Trade Desk has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Trade Desk has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.19 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.18 

Things to note about Trade Desk performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trade Desk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Trade Desk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trade Desk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trade Desk has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Optimism for Trade Desk Following Solid Results Preview
Evaluating Trade Desk's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Trade Desk's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Trade Desk's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trade Desk's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Trade Desk's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Trade Desk's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trade Desk's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trade Desk's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Trade Desk's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Trade Desk's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Trade Desk's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Trade Stock analysis

When running Trade Desk's price analysis, check to measure Trade Desk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trade Desk is operating at the current time. Most of Trade Desk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trade Desk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trade Desk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trade Desk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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