Ultra Fund Investor Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TWCUX Fund  USD 95.52  0.15  0.16%   
The entity has a beta of -0.1, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ultra Fund are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ultra Fund is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Fund Investor are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Ultra Fund is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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American Century Ultra Fund Q2 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
09/20/2024
Expense Ratio Date1st of March 2023
Expense Ratio0.9100
  

Ultra Fund Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,032  in Ultra Fund Investor on August 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  520.00  from holding Ultra Fund Investor or generate 5.76% return on investment over 90 days. Ultra Fund Investor is currently producing 0.0935% returns and takes up 1.0989% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 9% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Ultra, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ultra Fund is expected to generate 1.09 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Ultra Fund Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
95.52
Please note that Ultra Fund's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Ultra Fund Investor has a current Real Value of $86.81 per share. The regular price of the fund is $95.52. We determine the value of Ultra Fund Investor from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Ultra Fund is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ultra Mutual Fund. However, Ultra Fund's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  95.52 Real  86.81 Hype  95.48 Naive  94.33
The intrinsic value of Ultra Fund's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Ultra Fund's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
86.81
Real Value
105.07
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ultra Fund Investor helps investors to forecast how Ultra mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ultra Fund more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ultra Fund's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.3794.0997.81
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.3895.4896.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
93.2394.3395.43
Details

Ultra Fund Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ultra Fund's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Ultra Fund Investor, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Ultra Fund's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0851

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Estimated Market Risk

 1.1
  actual daily
9
91% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.09
  actual daily
1
99% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.09
  actual daily
6
94% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Ultra Fund is performing at about 6% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Ultra Fund by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Ultra Fund Fundamentals Growth

Ultra Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ultra Fund, and Ultra Fund fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ultra Mutual Fund performance.

About Ultra Fund Performance

Evaluating Ultra Fund's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Ultra Fund has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ultra Fund has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests in stocks of companies that the adviser believes will increase in value over time. The portfolio managers make their investment decisions based primarily on their analysis of individual companies, rather than on broad economic forecasts. The portfolio managers use a variety of analytical research tools and techniques to identify the stocks of larger-sized companies that meet their investment criteria. Under normal market conditions, the portfolio managers seek securities of companies whose earnings or revenues are not only growing, but growing at an accelerated pace.

Things to note about Ultra Fund Investor performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ultra Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Ultra Fund Investor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.69% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Ultra Fund's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ultra Fund's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Ultra Fund's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ultra Fund's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ultra Fund's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ultra Fund's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ultra Fund's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ultra Fund's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Ultra Fund's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ultra Fund's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ultra Fund's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Ultra Mutual Fund

Ultra Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ultra Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ultra with respect to the benefits of owning Ultra Fund security.
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