TransAlta (Germany) Performance

TZ1 Stock  EUR 10.86  0.47  4.15%   
The entity has a beta of 0.25, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, TransAlta's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding TransAlta is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, TransAlta has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate TransAlta's variance, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the standard deviation and information ratio , to decide if TransAlta performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days TransAlta has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0142
Payout Ratio
12
Forward Dividend Rate
0.16
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-27
1
TransAlta Issues 400 Million in Senior Notes to Bolster Financial Flexibility - The Globe and Mail
12/16/2025
2
TransAlta Valuation Revisited After Centralia Extension Order and US400 Million Senior Notes Issue - simplywall.st
12/19/2025
3
The Technical Signals Behind That Institutions Follow - Stock Traders Daily
01/06/2026
4
TSLTF TransAlta Corp drops to 0.0015 on 27 Jan 2026 key risks ahead - Meyka
01/26/2026
5
Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily
02/04/2026
6
TransAlta Stock Up 29 percent as Fund Trims 794,400 Shares in 12 Million Move - The Motley Fool
02/20/2026
  

TransAlta Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,209  in TransAlta on November 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (123.00) from holding TransAlta or give up 10.17% of portfolio value over 90 days. TransAlta is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 3.0087% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 27% of traded stocks are less volatile than TransAlta, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon TransAlta is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.94 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

TransAlta Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of TransAlta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.86 90 days 10.86 
about 73.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TransAlta to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.64 (This TransAlta probability density function shows the probability of TransAlta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TransAlta has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TransAlta average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TransAlta will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TransAlta has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TransAlta Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TransAlta

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TransAlta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.8410.8513.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.409.4112.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.1411.1414.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.6111.1911.78
Details

TransAlta Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TransAlta is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TransAlta's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TransAlta, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TransAlta within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

TransAlta Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TransAlta for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TransAlta can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TransAlta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TransAlta has high historical volatility and very poor performance
TransAlta has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: TransAlta Stock Up 29 percent as Fund Trims 794,400 Shares in 12 Million Move - The Motley Fool

TransAlta Fundamentals Growth

TransAlta Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of TransAlta, and TransAlta fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on TransAlta Stock performance.

About TransAlta Performance

By analyzing TransAlta's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into TransAlta's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if TransAlta has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if TransAlta has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
TransAlta Corporation owns, operates, and develops a diverse fleet of electrical power generation assets in Canada, the United States, and Australia. TransAlta Corporation was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. TRANSALTA CORP operates under UtilitiesIndependent Power Producers classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 1476 people.

Things to note about TransAlta performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about TransAlta for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for TransAlta help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TransAlta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TransAlta has high historical volatility and very poor performance
TransAlta has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: TransAlta Stock Up 29 percent as Fund Trims 794,400 Shares in 12 Million Move - The Motley Fool
Evaluating TransAlta's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate TransAlta's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing TransAlta's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether TransAlta's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining TransAlta's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating TransAlta's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of TransAlta's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of TransAlta's stock. These opinions can provide insight into TransAlta's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating TransAlta's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact TransAlta's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for TransAlta Stock analysis

When running TransAlta's price analysis, check to measure TransAlta's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TransAlta is operating at the current time. Most of TransAlta's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TransAlta's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TransAlta's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TransAlta to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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