Upwork Inc Stock Performance

UPWK Stock  USD 13.17  0.15  1.13%   
The entity has a beta of 1.59, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Upwork will likely underperform. At this point, Upwork Inc has a negative expected return of -0.57%. Please make sure to validate Upwork's potential upside, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the Rate Of Daily Change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Upwork Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Upwork Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.13)
Five Day Return
(0.68)
Year To Date Return
(33.62)
Ten Year Return
(37.82)
All Time Return
(37.82)
1
Upwork Stock Is Up, What You Need To Know
12/09/2025
2
Insider Trading
12/15/2025
3
Upwork Knows How To Allocate Capital Effectively
01/05/2026
4
Upworks In-Demand Skills 2026 Demand for Top AI Skills More Than Doubles as AI Is Embedded Into Everyday Work
02/04/2026
5
Upwork Inc Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Record Revenue and Strategic AI Integration ...
02/10/2026
6
Upwork Margin Compression In FY 2025 Challenges Bullish Profitability Narratives
02/11/2026
7
A Look At Upwork Valuation After Guidance Miss And Weak Client Trends
02/13/2026
8
Goldman Sachs Lowers its Price Target on Upwork Inc. to 27 and Maintains a Buy Rating
02/17/2026
9
Is Upwork Offering An Opportunity After Recent Share Price Slump
02/18/2026
10
Disposition of 15649 shares by Dave Bottoms of Upwork at 13.5115 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow505.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-136.9 M

Upwork Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,969  in Upwork Inc on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (652.00) from holding Upwork Inc or give up 33.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. Upwork Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.2952% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 38% of stocks are less volatile than Upwork, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Upwork is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.92 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Upwork Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Upwork Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.17 90 days 13.17 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Upwork to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Upwork Inc probability density function shows the probability of Upwork Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.59 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Upwork will likely underperform. Additionally Upwork Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Upwork Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Upwork

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Upwork Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Upwork's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.4412.7917.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4916.8421.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.4311.7816.13
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.7521.7024.09
Details

Upwork Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Upwork is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Upwork's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Upwork Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Upwork within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.59
σ
Overall volatility
2.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Upwork Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Upwork for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Upwork Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Upwork Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Upwork Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Upwork Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Upwork Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Brady Corp Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Sustained Growth and Strategic Innovations

Upwork Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Upwork Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Upwork's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Upwork's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding139.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments676.4 M

Upwork Fundamentals Growth

Upwork Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Upwork, and Upwork fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Upwork Stock performance.

About Upwork Performance

By examining Upwork's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Upwork's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Upwork is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.11 
Return On Capital Employed 0.20  0.21 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.09 
Return On Equity 0.18  0.19 

Things to note about Upwork Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Upwork for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Upwork Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Upwork Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Upwork Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Upwork Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Upwork Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Brady Corp Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Sustained Growth and Strategic Innovations
Evaluating Upwork's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Upwork's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Upwork's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Upwork's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Upwork's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Upwork's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Upwork's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Upwork's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Upwork's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Upwork's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Upwork's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Upwork Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Upwork Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Upwork Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Upwork Inc Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Upwork Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Human Resource & Employment Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Upwork. If investors know Upwork will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Upwork assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Earnings Share
0.84
Revenue Per Share
5.946
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.036
Return On Assets
0.0666
Investors evaluate Upwork Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Upwork's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Upwork's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Upwork's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Upwork is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Upwork's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.