Target Retirement Income Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

URINX Fund  USD 11.55  0.06  0.52%   
The entity has a beta of 0.24, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Target Retirement's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Target Retirement is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Target Retirement Income are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Target Retirement is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
...more
Expense Ratio Date1st of September 2025
Expense Ratio0.5500
  

Target Retirement Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,091  in Target Retirement Income on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  64.00  from holding Target Retirement Income or generate 5.87% return on investment over 90 days. Target Retirement Income is currently producing 0.0942% returns and takes up 0.384% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 3% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Target, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Target Retirement is expected to generate 0.52 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.94 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Target Retirement Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
11.55
Please note that Target Retirement's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Target Retirement Income has a current Real Value of $10.56 per share. The regular price of the fund is $11.55. We determine the value of Target Retirement Income from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Target Retirement is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Target Mutual Fund. However, Target Retirement's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.55 Real  10.56 Hype  11.55 Naive  11.64
The intrinsic value of Target Retirement's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Target Retirement's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.56
Real Value
12.71
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Target Retirement Income helps investors to forecast how Target mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Target Retirement more accurately as focusing exclusively on Target Retirement's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3511.4911.63
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1611.5511.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.2611.6412.03
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Target Retirement Income extending back to November 28, 2008. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Target Retirement stands at 11.55, as last reported on the 2nd of February, with the highest price reaching 11.55 and the lowest price hitting 11.55 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Retirement Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Target Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.55 90 days 11.55 
about 8.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Target Retirement to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.08 (This Target Retirement Income probability density function shows the probability of Target Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Target Retirement has a beta of 0.24. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Target Retirement average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Target Retirement Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Target Retirement Income has an alpha of 0.0548, implying that it can generate a 0.0548 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Target Retirement Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Target Retirement

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Target Retirement Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1611.5511.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1710.5612.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.2611.6412.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3511.4911.63
Details

Target Retirement Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Target Retirement is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Target Retirement's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Target Retirement Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Target Retirement within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Target Retirement Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Target Retirement for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Target Retirement Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 7.8% of its net assets in cash

Target Retirement Fundamentals Growth

Target Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Target Retirement, and Target Retirement fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Target Mutual Fund performance.

About Target Retirement Performance

Evaluating Target Retirement's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Target Retirement has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Target Retirement has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The funds current target asset allocation consists of approximately 35 percent of its net assets allocated to underlying affiliated funds that invest primarily in equity securities approximately 65 percent of its net assets allocated to underlying affiliated funds that invest primarily in fixed-income securities.

Things to note about Target Retirement Income performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Target Retirement for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Target Retirement Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 7.8% of its net assets in cash
Evaluating Target Retirement's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Target Retirement's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Target Retirement's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Target Retirement's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Target Retirement's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Target Retirement's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Target Retirement's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Target Retirement's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Target Retirement's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Target Retirement's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Target Retirement's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Target Mutual Fund

Target Retirement financial ratios help investors to determine whether Target Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Target with respect to the benefits of owning Target Retirement security.
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world