Vtex Stock Performance

VTEX Stock  USD 3.36  0.09  2.75%   
The entity has a beta of 0.62, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, VTEX's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding VTEX is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, VTEX has a negative expected return of -0.45%. Please make sure to validate VTEX's standard deviation, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and day median price , to decide if VTEX performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days VTEX has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.75
Five Day Return
5.99
Year To Date Return
(7.44)
Ten Year Return
(84.85)
All Time Return
(84.85)
1
VTEX Experiences Revision in Its Stock Evaluation Amidst Market Challenges - Markets Mojo
11/11/2025
2
Why hedge funds are buying VTEX stock - Exit Point Daily Profit Focused Screening - B NI V
11/26/2025
3
How Low Can Vtex Stock Really Go - Trefis
12/04/2025
4
Legal General Group Plc Acquires 263,852 Shares of VTEX VTEX - MarketBeat
12/09/2025
5
Forecast Cut Will VTEX stock maintain dividend yield - Bull Run Free Accurate Trade Setup Notifications -
12/19/2025
6
Can VTEX stock hit analyst price targets - Market Rumors and News High Profit Market Ideas - Bollywood Helpline
12/24/2025
7
VTEX Hits New 1-Year Low - Heres Why - MarketBeat
01/08/2026
8
Aug Selloffs Will VTEX stock deliver long term returns - 2025 Technical Patterns Weekly High Return Forecasts - moha.gov.vn
01/13/2026
9
VTEX Reaches New 1-Year Low - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow28 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-20 M

VTEX Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  453.00  in VTEX on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (117.00) from holding VTEX or give up 25.83% of portfolio value over 90 days. VTEX is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.5094% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than VTEX, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VTEX is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.18 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

VTEX Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of VTEX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.36 90 days 3.36 
over 95.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VTEX to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.02 (This VTEX probability density function shows the probability of VTEX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VTEX has a beta of 0.62. This entails as returns on the market go up, VTEX average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VTEX will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VTEX has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   VTEX Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VTEX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VTEX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VTEX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.863.375.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.754.266.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.733.245.75
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.096.697.43
Details

VTEX Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VTEX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VTEX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VTEX, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VTEX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

VTEX Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VTEX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VTEX can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VTEX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VTEX is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: VTEX Reaches New 1-Year Low - Whats Next - MarketBeat

VTEX Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VTEX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VTEX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VTEX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding192.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments214.8 M

VTEX Fundamentals Growth

VTEX Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of VTEX, and VTEX fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on VTEX Stock performance.

About VTEX Performance

Evaluating VTEX's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if VTEX has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if VTEX has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.04  0.04 

Things to note about VTEX performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about VTEX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for VTEX help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VTEX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VTEX is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: VTEX Reaches New 1-Year Low - Whats Next - MarketBeat
Evaluating VTEX's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate VTEX's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing VTEX's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether VTEX's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining VTEX's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating VTEX's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of VTEX's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of VTEX's stock. These opinions can provide insight into VTEX's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating VTEX's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact VTEX's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for VTEX Stock Analysis

When running VTEX's price analysis, check to measure VTEX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VTEX is operating at the current time. Most of VTEX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VTEX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VTEX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VTEX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.