Vtex Stock Market Outlook
| VTEX Stock | USD 3.14 0.09 2.95% |
Slightly above 63% of all VTEX's investors are looking to take a long position. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in VTEX suggests that some traders are, at the present time, interested. VTEX's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, VTEX's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.
Comfort Level 63
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use VTEX's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward VTEX.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding VTEX is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell VTEX given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for VTEX, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Execute VTEX Advice
The VTEX recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on VTEX. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in VTEX or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute VTEX's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon VTEX has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14), Jensen Alpha of (0.54), Total Risk Alpha of (0.73) and Treynor Ratio of (0.61)We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on VTEX. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available now. To make sure VTEX is not overpriced, please validate all VTEX fundamentals, including its cash per share, and the relationship between the price to sales and short ratio . Given that VTEX has a number of shares shorted of 2.56 M, we advise you to double-check VTEX market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.
VTEX Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| VTEX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VTEX is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: VTEX Moves With NYSE Composite Tech Index Trends |
VTEX Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of VTEX's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of VTEX's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of VTEX daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use VTEX price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of VTEX returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for VTEX.
| Mean Return | -0.47 | Value At Risk | -4.85 | Potential Upside | 2.75 | Standard Deviation | 2.51 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of VTEX historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
VTEX Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as VTEX, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VTEX back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 751.3 K | Bw Gestao De Investimentos Ltda | 2025-06-30 | 746.8 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 688.4 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 533.9 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 506.1 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2025-06-30 | 504.8 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 436.7 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 407.1 K | Norges Bank | 2025-06-30 | 404.5 K | Softbank Group Corp | 2025-06-30 | 38.4 M | Polar Capital Holdings Plc | 2025-06-30 | 6.3 M |
VTEX Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (159.9M) | (43.4M) | 38.4M | (20.0M) | (23.0M) | (24.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | 62.4M | (96.6M) | 3.6M | (9.4M) | (8.4M) | (8.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (11.8M) | (3.9M) | (2.8M) | (1.7M) | (1.5M) | (1.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (54.7M) | (29.6M) | 3.8M | 25.2M | 29.0M | 30.4M | |
| Depreciation | 4.1M | 4.6M | 5.0M | 4.4M | 5.0M | 4.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (2.7M) | 7.7M | (8.3M) | (651K) | (585.9K) | (615.2K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.8M | 340K | 472K | 2.1M | 1.9M | 1.1M | |
| Net Income | (60.5M) | (52.4M) | (13.7M) | 12.0M | 13.8M | 14.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 121.0M | 24.4M | 28.0M | 18.7M | 16.8M | 16.0M |
VTEX Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to VTEX or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that VTEX's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a VTEX stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
VTEX Volatility Alert
VTEX exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.52 and kurtosis of 2.39. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure VTEX's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact VTEX's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.VTEX Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing VTEX's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze VTEX's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between VTEX and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as VTEX or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of VTEX's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VTEX by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare VTEX to competition |
| Fundamentals | VTEX | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0522 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0286 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 358.83 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 97.17 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 41.32 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 42.11 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.56 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 2.31 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.44 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 226.71 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 178.54 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 14.4 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 11.99 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 254.78 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.33 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.31 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.03 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.33 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.36 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 27.26 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.07 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.07 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.22) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 6.39 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.37 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.33 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 571.36 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 366.78 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (118.06 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 203.62 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 366.78 M |
VTEX Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as VTEX . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
VTEX Target Price Consensus
VTEX target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. VTEX's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 9 | Strong Buy |
Most VTEX analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand VTEX stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of VTEX, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationVTEX Target Price Projection
VTEX's current and average target prices are 3.14 and 6.39, respectively. The current price of VTEX is the price at which VTEX is currently trading. On the other hand, VTEX's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On VTEX Target Price
VTEX Analyst Ratings
VTEX's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about VTEX stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of VTEX's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. VTEX's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About VTEX Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell VTEX? Buying financial instruments such as VTEX Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having VTEX in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Outsourcing Thematic Idea Now
Outsourcing
Companies involved in providing outsourcing and staffing services to business across different domains. The Outsourcing theme has 32 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Outsourcing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Additional Tools for VTEX Stock Analysis
When running VTEX's price analysis, check to measure VTEX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VTEX is operating at the current time. Most of VTEX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VTEX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VTEX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VTEX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.