Winmark Stock Performance

WINA Stock  USD 436.33  24.63  5.34%   
Winmark has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.39, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Winmark's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Winmark is expected to be smaller as well. Winmark right now maintains a risk of 2.2%. Please check out Winmark semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Winmark will be following its historical returns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Winmark are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Winmark is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.37)
Five Day Return
(3.99)
Year To Date Return
7.17
Ten Year Return
372.93
All Time Return
2.8 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0088
Payout Ratio
0.4457
Forward Dividend Rate
3.84
Dividend Date
2026-03-02
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-11
1
Disposition of 2490 shares by Anthony Ishaug of Winmark at 98.25 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/07/2025
2
Disposition of 800 shares by Grassle Jenele C of Winmark at 122.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/19/2025
3
Dynamic Technology Lab Private Ltd Grows Stock Position in Winmark Corporation WINA - MarketBeat
11/24/2025
 
Winmark dividend paid on 1st of December 2025
12/01/2025
4
How Rising Institutional Interest And An Upgrade At Winmark Has Changed Its Investment Story
12/04/2025
5
Acquisition by Brett Heffes of 2712 shares of Winmark at 444.54 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
6
Is Rising Institutional Ownership And An Analyst Upgrade Altering The Investment Case For Winmark
12/17/2025
7
Winmark Stock Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average Should You Sell
01/15/2026
8
Mountain Pacific Investment Advisers LLC Reduces Stock Position in Winmark Corporation WINA
01/22/2026
9
Acquisition by Renae Gaudette of 1580 shares of Winmark at 400.97 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow13.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-194.9 K

Winmark Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  41,915  in Winmark on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,718  from holding Winmark or generate 4.1% return on investment over 90 days. Winmark is currently generating 0.0908% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.2012% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Winmark, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Winmark is expected to generate 2.92 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.92 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Winmark Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Winmark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 436.33 90 days 436.33 
about 24.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Winmark to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.87 (This Winmark probability density function shows the probability of Winmark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Winmark has a beta of 0.39. This entails as returns on the market go up, Winmark average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Winmark will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Winmark has an alpha of 0.1162, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Winmark Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Winmark

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Winmark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
434.19436.39438.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
392.70489.32491.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
422.13424.33426.53
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
495.95545.00604.95
Details

Winmark Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Winmark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Winmark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Winmark, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Winmark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
17.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Winmark Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Winmark for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Winmark can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Winmark is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Winmark has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Renae Gaudette of 1580 shares of Winmark at 400.97 subject to Rule 16b-3

Winmark Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Winmark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Winmark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Winmark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.2 M

Winmark Fundamentals Growth

Winmark Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Winmark, and Winmark fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Winmark Stock performance.

About Winmark Performance

By analyzing Winmark's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Winmark's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Winmark has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Winmark has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 33.35  20.09 
Return On Tangible Assets 1.43  1.50 
Return On Capital Employed 2.59  2.72 
Return On Assets 1.25  1.31 
Return On Equity(0.78)(0.74)

Things to note about Winmark performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Winmark for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Winmark help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Winmark is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Winmark has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Renae Gaudette of 1580 shares of Winmark at 400.97 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Winmark's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Winmark's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Winmark's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Winmark's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Winmark's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Winmark's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Winmark's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Winmark's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Winmark's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Winmark's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Winmark's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Winmark's price analysis, check to measure Winmark's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Winmark is operating at the current time. Most of Winmark's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Winmark's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Winmark's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Winmark to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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