CONOCOPHILLIPS (Germany) Performance
| YCP Stock | EUR 78.53 0.00 0.00% |
CONOCOPHILLIPS has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.22, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CONOCOPHILLIPS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CONOCOPHILLIPS is likely to outperform the market. CONOCOPHILLIPS now shows a risk of 1.28%. Please confirm CONOCOPHILLIPS total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if CONOCOPHILLIPS will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CONOCOPHILLIPS are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather fragile basic indicators, CONOCOPHILLIPS may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 5.4 B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 18.2 B |
CONOCOPHILLIPS |
CONOCOPHILLIPS Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 7,406 in CONOCOPHILLIPS on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 447.00 from holding CONOCOPHILLIPS or generate 6.04% return on investment over 90 days. CONOCOPHILLIPS is generating 0.1074% of daily returns assuming 1.2758% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 11% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than CONOCOPHILLIPS, and 98% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
CONOCOPHILLIPS Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of CONOCOPHILLIPS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 78.53 | 90 days | 78.53 | about 31.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CONOCOPHILLIPS to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.22 (This CONOCOPHILLIPS probability density function shows the probability of CONOCOPHILLIPS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CONOCOPHILLIPS has a beta of -0.22. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CONOCOPHILLIPS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CONOCOPHILLIPS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CONOCOPHILLIPS has an alpha of 0.09, implying that it can generate a 0.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CONOCOPHILLIPS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CONOCOPHILLIPS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CONOCOPHILLIPS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CONOCOPHILLIPS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CONOCOPHILLIPS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CONOCOPHILLIPS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CONOCOPHILLIPS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CONOCOPHILLIPS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
CONOCOPHILLIPS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CONOCOPHILLIPS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CONOCOPHILLIPS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CONOCOPHILLIPS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 5.7 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 417 M |
CONOCOPHILLIPS Fundamentals Growth
CONOCOPHILLIPS Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CONOCOPHILLIPS, and CONOCOPHILLIPS fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CONOCOPHILLIPS Stock performance.
| Current Valuation | 136.05 B | |||
| Price To Book | 2.85 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.94 X | |||
| Revenue | 78.49 B | |||
| EBITDA | 36.79 B | |||
| Total Debt | 16.23 B | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 28.31 B | |||
| Total Asset | 93.83 B | |||
About CONOCOPHILLIPS Performance
By analyzing CONOCOPHILLIPS's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into CONOCOPHILLIPS's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if CONOCOPHILLIPS has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CONOCOPHILLIPS has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Things to note about CONOCOPHILLIPS performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about CONOCOPHILLIPS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CONOCOPHILLIPS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Evaluating CONOCOPHILLIPS's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CONOCOPHILLIPS's stock performance include:- Analyzing CONOCOPHILLIPS's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CONOCOPHILLIPS's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining CONOCOPHILLIPS's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating CONOCOPHILLIPS's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CONOCOPHILLIPS's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CONOCOPHILLIPS's stock. These opinions can provide insight into CONOCOPHILLIPS's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for CONOCOPHILLIPS Stock analysis
When running CONOCOPHILLIPS's price analysis, check to measure CONOCOPHILLIPS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CONOCOPHILLIPS is operating at the current time. Most of CONOCOPHILLIPS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CONOCOPHILLIPS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CONOCOPHILLIPS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CONOCOPHILLIPS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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