Gan Yuan (China) Price Prediction

002991 Stock   73.10  0.45  0.62%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Gan Yuan's the stock price is about 62. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gan, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gan Yuan's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gan Yuan Foods, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gan Yuan's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.184
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.23
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.09
Wall Street Target Price
81.88
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.156
Using Gan Yuan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gan Yuan Foods from the perspective of Gan Yuan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gan Yuan to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Gan Yuan after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 72.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Gan Yuan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.4456.7780.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.4472.7776.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.450.470.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gan Yuan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gan Yuan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gan Yuan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gan Yuan Foods.

Gan Yuan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gan Yuan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gan Yuan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gan Yuan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gan Yuan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gan Yuan's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gan Yuan's historical news coverage. Gan Yuan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.33 and 75.99, respectively. We have considered Gan Yuan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
73.10
72.66
After-hype Price
75.99
Upside
Gan Yuan is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gan Yuan Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gan Yuan Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gan Yuan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gan Yuan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gan Yuan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.72 
3.30
  0.42 
  0.15 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
73.10
72.66
0.60 
559.32  
Notes

Gan Yuan Hype Timeline

Gan Yuan Foods is presently traded for 73.10on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Gan is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 72.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.72%. The volatility of related hype on Gan Yuan is about 1604.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.25. About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Gan Yuan was presently reported as 17.64. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Gan Yuan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Gan Yuan Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gan Yuan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gan Yuan's future price movements. Getting to know how Gan Yuan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gan Yuan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Gan Yuan Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Gan Yuan Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Gan Yuan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gan Yuan Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gan Yuan based on analysis of Gan Yuan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gan Yuan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gan Yuan's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Gan Yuan

The number of cover stories for Gan Yuan depends on current market conditions and Gan Yuan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gan Yuan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gan Yuan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Gan Yuan Short Properties

Gan Yuan's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gan Yuan's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gan Yuan Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gan Yuan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gan Yuan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding93.2 M

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