Fortune Brands (UK) Price Prediction
| 0IRN Stock | 76.57 1.08 1.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
31
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.019 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
Using Fortune Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fortune Brands Home from the perspective of Fortune Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fortune Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fortune because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fortune Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 75.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fortune |
Fortune Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fortune Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fortune Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fortune Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fortune Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fortune Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fortune Brands' historical news coverage. Fortune Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.91 and 77.07, respectively. We have considered Fortune Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fortune Brands is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fortune Brands Home is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fortune Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fortune Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fortune Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fortune Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.59 | 0.03 | 0.57 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
76.57 | 75.49 | 0.00 |
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Fortune Brands Hype Timeline
Fortune Brands Home is presently traded for 76.57on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.57. Fortune is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fortune Brands is about 16.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.14. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.62. Fortune Brands Home had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Fortune Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fortune Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fortune Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fortune Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Fortune Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fortune Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0HI1 | Arrow Electronics | 0.81 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.61 | (2.24) | 16.35 | |
| 0QHX | Odfjell Drilling | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.97 | (3.55) | 11.08 | |
| FA17 | Fair Oaks Income | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 0A4G | Qurate Retail Series | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.27 | (8.20) | 26.45 | |
| 0IFX | Electronic Arts | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.89 | 0.09 | 1.63 | (1.74) | 4.25 | |
| 0FGH | Norwegian Air Shuttle | (0.53) | 1 per month | 3.75 | 0 | 4.11 | (4.17) | 18.19 | |
| 0RYA | Ryanair Holdings plc | 66.00 | 1 per month | 1.56 | 0.10 | 5.65 | (4.38) | 14.76 |
Fortune Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fortune price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fortune using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fortune charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fortune Brands Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fortune Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fortune Brands Home, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fortune Brands based on analysis of Fortune Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fortune Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fortune Brands's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Fortune Brands
The number of cover stories for Fortune Brands depends on current market conditions and Fortune Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fortune Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fortune Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Fortune Stock Analysis
When running Fortune Brands' price analysis, check to measure Fortune Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortune Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Fortune Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortune Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortune Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortune Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.