Vulcan Materials (UK) Price Prediction

0LRK Stock   290.33  5.78  2.03%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Vulcan Materials' share price is above 70 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Vulcan, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

71

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vulcan Materials' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vulcan Materials and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vulcan Materials' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vulcan Materials Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vulcan Materials' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.25)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
Using Vulcan Materials hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vulcan Materials Co from the perspective of Vulcan Materials response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vulcan Materials to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vulcan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Vulcan Materials after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 290.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Vulcan Materials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Vulcan Stock please use our How to Invest in Vulcan Materials guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
224.69226.46319.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
273.54275.31277.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
273.36284.36295.36
Details

Vulcan Materials After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vulcan Materials at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vulcan Materials or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vulcan Materials, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vulcan Materials Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vulcan Materials' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vulcan Materials' historical news coverage. Vulcan Materials' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 288.30 and 291.84, respectively. We have considered Vulcan Materials' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
290.33
288.30
Downside
290.07
After-hype Price
291.84
Upside
Vulcan Materials is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vulcan Materials is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vulcan Materials Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vulcan Materials is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vulcan Materials backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vulcan Materials, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
1.75
  0.25 
  2.88 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
290.33
290.07
0.09 
221.52  
Notes

Vulcan Materials Hype Timeline

Vulcan Materials is presently traded for 290.33on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.88. Vulcan is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 290.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Vulcan Materials is about 19.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 287.45. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Vulcan Materials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Vulcan Stock please use our How to Invest in Vulcan Materials guide.

Vulcan Materials Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vulcan Materials' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vulcan Materials' future price movements. Getting to know how Vulcan Materials' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vulcan Materials may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SMSDSamsung Electronics Co 7.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.25) 2.80 (3.78) 10.21 
SMSNSamsung Electronics Co(2.00)2 per month 0.00 (0.27) 3.19 (4.02) 13.39 
HYUDHyundai Motor(0.80)3 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.76 (3.64) 12.58 
TYTToyota Motor Corp(19.00)3 per month 2.14 (0.04) 3.04 (3.19) 12.68 
RIGDReliance Industries Ltd(0.50)3 per month 0.00 (0.24) 2.47 (2.70) 7.89 
0R15SoftBank Group Corp(56.86)3 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.19 (6.63) 15.31 
HHPDHon Hai Precision(0.04)2 per month 1.79  0.02  3.14 (3.02) 8.38 
SBIDState Bank of 0.1 3 per month 1.34 (0.06) 2.44 (2.41) 8.15 

Vulcan Materials Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vulcan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vulcan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vulcan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Vulcan Materials Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vulcan Materials stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vulcan Materials Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vulcan Materials based on analysis of Vulcan Materials hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vulcan Materials's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vulcan Materials's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Vulcan Materials

The number of cover stories for Vulcan Materials depends on current market conditions and Vulcan Materials' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vulcan Materials is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vulcan Materials' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Vulcan Materials Short Properties

Vulcan Materials' future price predictability will typically decrease when Vulcan Materials' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vulcan Materials Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vulcan Materials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vulcan Materials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding133.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments931.1 M

Additional Tools for Vulcan Stock Analysis

When running Vulcan Materials' price analysis, check to measure Vulcan Materials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vulcan Materials is operating at the current time. Most of Vulcan Materials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vulcan Materials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vulcan Materials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vulcan Materials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.