Primary Health (UK) Price Prediction

PHP Stock   94.10  1.10  1.18%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Primary Health's share price is approaching 41 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Primary Health, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Primary Health's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Primary Health and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Primary Health's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Primary Health Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Primary Health's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.069
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.0703
Wall Street Target Price
105.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.095
Using Primary Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Primary Health Properties from the perspective of Primary Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Primary Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Primary because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Primary Health after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 94.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Primary Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.0380.06103.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.0994.1395.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.621.691.75
Details

Primary Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Primary Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Primary Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Primary Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Primary Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Primary Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Primary Health's historical news coverage. Primary Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.05 and 95.11, respectively. We have considered Primary Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
94.10
94.08
After-hype Price
95.11
Upside
Primary Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Primary Health Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.

Primary Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Primary Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Primary Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Primary Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.03
  0.02 
  0.37 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
94.10
94.08
0.02 
174.58  
Notes

Primary Health Hype Timeline

Primary Health Properties is at this time traded for 94.10on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.37. Primary is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 94.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 174.58%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Primary Health is about 11.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.73. About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.9. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Primary Health Properties recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of October 2024. The firm had 4:1 split on the 12th of November 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Primary Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Primary Health Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Primary Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Primary Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Primary Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Primary Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HMSOHammerson PLC 7.95 3 per month 1.56 (0.06) 2.87 (2.22) 8.76 
IBMInternational Business Machines(85.30)5 per month 0.00 (0.50) 0.00  0.00  1.42 
NMTNeometals(0.25)2 per month 4.16  0.07  10.53 (5.56) 36.62 
0R8QCoor Service Management 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 1.95 (2.41) 20.00 
FSEMFidelity Sustainable USD 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.33) 0.50 (0.50) 3.28 
LENDSancus Lending Group(0.05)2 per month 0.00  0.03  10.00 (9.09) 21.11 
AEOAeorema Communications Plc 0.40 1 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.94 (1.80) 6.74 
JLENJLEN Environmental Assets(1.90)1 per month 0.00 (0.28) 1.60 (2.18) 8.28 
HRNHornby PLC(3.00)2 per month 0.00 (0.03) 5.13 (7.14) 24.66 

Primary Health Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Primary price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Primary using various technical indicators. When you analyze Primary charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Primary Health Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Primary Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Primary Health Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Primary Health based on analysis of Primary Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Primary Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Primary Health's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Primary Health

The number of cover stories for Primary Health depends on current market conditions and Primary Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Primary Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Primary Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Primary Health Short Properties

Primary Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Primary Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Primary Health Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Primary Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Primary Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments3.2 M

Complementary Tools for Primary Stock analysis

When running Primary Health's price analysis, check to measure Primary Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Primary Health is operating at the current time. Most of Primary Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Primary Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Primary Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Primary Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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