Dook Media (China) Price Prediction

301025 Stock   11.74  0.46  4.08%   
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Dook Media's share price is approaching 43. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Dook Media, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

43

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dook Media's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dook Media Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Dook Media's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
20.646
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Using Dook Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dook Media Group from the perspective of Dook Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dook Media to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dook because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Dook Media after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 12.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Dook Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.799.1713.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.9212.3016.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1811.0011.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dook Media. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dook Media's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dook Media's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dook Media Group.

Dook Media After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Dook Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dook Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dook Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Dook Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Dook Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dook Media's historical news coverage. Dook Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.77 and 16.53, respectively. We have considered Dook Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.74
12.15
After-hype Price
16.53
Upside
Dook Media is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dook Media Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Dook Media Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dook Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dook Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dook Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.68 
4.38
  0.41 
  0.17 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.74
12.15
3.49 
718.03  
Notes

Dook Media Hype Timeline

Dook Media Group is presently traded for 11.74on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Dook is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 3.49%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.68%. The volatility of related hype on Dook Media is about 1724.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.57. Dook Media Group has accumulated 123.94 M in total debt. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Dook Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Dook Media Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Dook Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dook Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Dook Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dook Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600307Gansu Jiu Steel 0.06 1 per month 2.90  0.12  9.56 (3.55) 19.98 
601615Ming Yang Smart 0.13 2 per month 2.31  0.18  7.78 (4.15) 18.14 
300261Aba Chemicals Corp(0.32)1 per month 3.97  0.11  12.80 (6.28) 30.23 
300729Loctek Ergonomic Technology 0.04 5 per month 2.84  0.09  6.27 (3.09) 24.80 
300590Queclink Wireless Solutions 0.64 2 per month 3.95  0.09  5.96 (5.99) 36.78 
600742Changchun Faway Automobile(0.41)2 per month 1.95  0.1  3.88 (3.15) 12.33 
300243Shandong Ruifeng Chemical(0.50)1 per month 3.62  0.10  10.41 (4.71) 31.77 
002605Shanghai Yaoji Playing(2.06)1 per month 3.23  0.18  9.99 (6.01) 19.99 
300378Digiwin Software Co(0.12)2 per month 3.87  0.15  9.57 (6.74) 31.26 
002688Jinhe Biotechnology Co 0.00 0 per month 1.74  0.11  4.05 (3.17) 11.97 

Dook Media Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dook price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dook using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dook charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Dook Media Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Dook Media stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dook Media Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dook Media based on analysis of Dook Media hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dook Media's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dook Media's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Dook Media

The number of cover stories for Dook Media depends on current market conditions and Dook Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dook Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dook Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Dook Media Short Properties

Dook Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dook Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dook Media Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dook Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dook Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding400.3 M

Complementary Tools for Dook Stock analysis

When running Dook Media's price analysis, check to measure Dook Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dook Media is operating at the current time. Most of Dook Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dook Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dook Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dook Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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