Kao Fong (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 4510 Stock | TWD 47.60 4.30 9.93% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kao Fong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kao Fong Machinery from the perspective of Kao Fong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kao Fong to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kao because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kao Fong after-hype prediction price | TWD 47.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kao |
Kao Fong After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kao Fong at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kao Fong or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kao Fong, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kao Fong Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kao Fong's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kao Fong's historical news coverage. Kao Fong's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.24 and 51.96, respectively. We have considered Kao Fong's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kao Fong is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kao Fong Machinery is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kao Fong Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kao Fong is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kao Fong backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kao Fong, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 4.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
47.60 | 47.60 | 0.00 |
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Kao Fong Hype Timeline
Kao Fong Machinery is presently traded for 47.60on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kao is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kao Fong is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.60. About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.57. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Kao Fong Machinery last dividend was issued on the 4th of July 2019. The entity had 1040:1000 split on the 22nd of August 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Kao Fong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kao Fong Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kao Fong's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kao Fong's future price movements. Getting to know how Kao Fong's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kao Fong may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 4139 | Ma Kuang Healthcare | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.39 | (0.02) | 4.64 | (4.83) | 18.09 | |
| 8104 | RiTdisplay Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.00 | 0.11 | 6.70 | (4.46) | 16.28 | |
| 3038 | Emerging Display Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | (0.07) | 1.58 | (1.75) | 8.65 | |
| 6116 | Hannstar Display Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.51 | (2.03) | 6.99 | |
| 4108 | Phytohealth Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.70 | (2.33) | 6.49 | |
| 4164 | CHC Healthcare Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.46 | (2.93) | 12.81 |
Kao Fong Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kao price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kao using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kao charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Kao Fong Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kao Fong stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kao Fong Machinery, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kao Fong based on analysis of Kao Fong hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kao Fong's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kao Fong's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Kao Fong
The number of cover stories for Kao Fong depends on current market conditions and Kao Fong's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kao Fong is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kao Fong's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kao Fong Short Properties
Kao Fong's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kao Fong's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kao Fong Machinery often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kao Fong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kao Fong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108 M |
Additional Tools for Kao Stock Analysis
When running Kao Fong's price analysis, check to measure Kao Fong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kao Fong is operating at the current time. Most of Kao Fong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kao Fong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kao Fong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kao Fong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.