Xinke Material (China) Price Prediction
| 600255 Stock | 2.29 0.01 0.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.096 |
Using Xinke Material hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xinke Material from the perspective of Xinke Material response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xinke Material to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xinke because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xinke Material after-hype prediction price | CNY 2.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xinke |
Xinke Material After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xinke Material at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xinke Material or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xinke Material, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xinke Material Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xinke Material's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xinke Material's historical news coverage. Xinke Material's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 5.06, respectively. We have considered Xinke Material's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xinke Material is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xinke Material is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xinke Material Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xinke Material is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xinke Material backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xinke Material, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 2.78 | 0.64 | 0.09 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.29 | 2.26 | 1.31 |
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Xinke Material Hype Timeline
Xinke Material is presently traded for 2.29on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.64, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Xinke is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.26. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.31%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Xinke Material is about 1573.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.38. About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Xinke Material was presently reported as 0.78. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of July 2018. Xinke Material had 25:10 split on the 10th of October 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Xinke Material Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xinke Material Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xinke Material's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xinke Material's future price movements. Getting to know how Xinke Material's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xinke Material may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 603002 | Epoxy Base Electronic | 0.00 | 2 per month | 2.96 | 0.03 | 4.36 | (4.60) | 19.89 | |
| 688103 | Kunshan Guoli Electronic | 1.27 | 2 per month | 2.81 | 0.09 | 7.82 | (5.80) | 21.95 | |
| 301439 | Weihai Honglin Electronic | 0.03 | 1 per month | 2.52 | 0.06 | 4.18 | (4.08) | 21.32 | |
| 002049 | Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics | (0.24) | 1 per month | 2.48 | 0.09 | 9.59 | (4.41) | 16.77 | |
| 002156 | TongFu Microelectronics Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.03 | 0.12 | 10.00 | (5.77) | 19.93 | |
| 603893 | Fuzhou Rockchip Electronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | 0.14 | 10.00 | (4.52) | 15.05 |
Xinke Material Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xinke price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xinke using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xinke charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xinke Material Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xinke Material stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xinke Material, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xinke Material based on analysis of Xinke Material hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xinke Material's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xinke Material's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Xinke Material
The number of cover stories for Xinke Material depends on current market conditions and Xinke Material's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xinke Material is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xinke Material's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xinke Material Short Properties
Xinke Material's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xinke Material's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xinke Material often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xinke Material's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xinke Material's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B |
Complementary Tools for Xinke Stock analysis
When running Xinke Material's price analysis, check to measure Xinke Material's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xinke Material is operating at the current time. Most of Xinke Material's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xinke Material's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xinke Material's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xinke Material to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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