Agios Pharmaceuticals (Germany) Price Prediction
| 8AP Stock | EUR 51.00 1.60 3.24% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Agios Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agios Pharmaceuticals from the perspective of Agios Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agios Pharmaceuticals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agios because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Agios Pharmaceuticals after-hype prediction price | EUR 51.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Agios |
Agios Pharmaceuticals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agios Pharmaceuticals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agios Pharmaceuticals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agios Pharmaceuticals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agios Pharmaceuticals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agios Pharmaceuticals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agios Pharmaceuticals' historical news coverage. Agios Pharmaceuticals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.95 and 54.05, respectively. We have considered Agios Pharmaceuticals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agios Pharmaceuticals is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agios Pharmaceuticals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agios Pharmaceuticals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agios Pharmaceuticals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agios Pharmaceuticals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agios Pharmaceuticals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 3.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
51.00 | 51.00 | 0.00 |
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Agios Pharmaceuticals Hype Timeline
Agios Pharmaceuticals is presently traded for 51.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Agios is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Agios Pharmaceuticals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.00. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.62. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Agios Pharmaceuticals recorded a loss per share of 6.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Agios Pharmaceuticals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Agios Pharmaceuticals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agios Pharmaceuticals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agios Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. Getting to know how Agios Pharmaceuticals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agios Pharmaceuticals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CBR | Chiba Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.38 | (3.31) | 9.35 | |
| CBR | CHIBA BANK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.85 | (0.05) | 3.45 | (3.47) | 9.35 | |
| 6PU | Pure Storage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.99 | (6.25) | 15.42 | |
| 3QD | Datadog | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.60 | 0.10 | 4.11 | (2.79) | 9.75 | |
| PUP | Public Storage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | (0.02) | 3.09 | (2.18) | 6.54 | |
| CC3 | Cass Information Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | 0.02 | 3.24 | (2.80) | 8.40 | |
| A4S | Ameriprise Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | 0.20 | 2.20 | (1.24) | 16.93 | |
| H0O | REVO INSURANCE SPA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | 0.14 | 1.85 | (1.29) | 5.26 |
Agios Pharmaceuticals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agios price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agios using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agios charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Agios Pharmaceuticals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Agios Pharmaceuticals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Agios Pharmaceuticals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agios Pharmaceuticals based on analysis of Agios Pharmaceuticals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agios Pharmaceuticals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agios Pharmaceuticals's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Agios Pharmaceuticals
The number of cover stories for Agios Pharmaceuticals depends on current market conditions and Agios Pharmaceuticals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agios Pharmaceuticals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agios Pharmaceuticals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Agios Pharmaceuticals Short Properties
Agios Pharmaceuticals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Agios Pharmaceuticals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agios Pharmaceuticals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agios Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agios Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.9 M | |
| Shares Float | 48.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Agios Stock analysis
When running Agios Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Agios Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agios Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Agios Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agios Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agios Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agios Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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