Banco ABC (Brazil) Price Prediction
| ABCB4 Preferred Stock | BRL 20.89 0.53 2.60% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
32
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Banco ABC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco ABC Brasil from the perspective of Banco ABC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Banco ABC to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Banco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Banco ABC after-hype prediction price | BRL 20.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Banco |
Banco ABC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Banco ABC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco ABC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Banco ABC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Banco ABC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Banco ABC's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco ABC's historical news coverage. Banco ABC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.83 and 21.95, respectively. We have considered Banco ABC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Banco ABC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco ABC Brasil is based on 3 months time horizon.
Banco ABC Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banco ABC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco ABC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco ABC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.89 | 20.89 | 0.00 |
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Banco ABC Hype Timeline
Banco ABC Brasil is presently traded for 20.89on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Banco is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Banco ABC is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.89. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Banco ABC Brasil has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.57. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2023. The firm had 7039:6988 split on the 2nd of January 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Banco ABC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Banco ABC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Banco ABC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco ABC's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco ABC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco ABC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRSR6 | Banco do Estado | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.26 | (1.88) | 6.68 | |
| LEVE3 | MAHLE Metal Leve | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.07 | (1.78) | 7.84 | |
| TUPY3 | Tupy SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 1.43 | (2.15) | 9.35 | |
| BBSE3 | BB Seguridade Participacoes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.40 | (1.42) | 5.00 |
Banco ABC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Banco ABC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Banco ABC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Banco ABC Brasil, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Banco ABC based on analysis of Banco ABC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Banco ABC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Banco ABC's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Banco ABC
The number of cover stories for Banco ABC depends on current market conditions and Banco ABC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco ABC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco ABC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Banco ABC Short Properties
Banco ABC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Banco ABC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Banco ABC Brasil often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Banco ABC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco ABC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220.9 M |
Additional Tools for Banco Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Banco ABC's price analysis, check to measure Banco ABC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco ABC is operating at the current time. Most of Banco ABC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco ABC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco ABC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco ABC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.