Abacus Life Price Prediction

ABLDelisted Stock   8.47  0.05  0.59%   
The value of RSI of Abacus Life's share price is above 70 as of now. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Abacus, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 77

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Abacus Life's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Abacus Life and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Abacus Life's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Abacus Life, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Abacus Life hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abacus Life from the perspective of Abacus Life response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Abacus Life to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Abacus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Abacus Life after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Abacus Life Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.156.5510.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.768.1612.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.107.329.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Abacus Life. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Abacus Life's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Abacus Life's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Abacus Life.

Abacus Life After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Abacus Life at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abacus Life or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Abacus Life, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Abacus Life Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Abacus Life's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abacus Life's historical news coverage. Abacus Life's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.32 and 13.12, respectively. We have considered Abacus Life's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.47
8.72
After-hype Price
13.12
Upside
Abacus Life is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Abacus Life is based on 3 months time horizon.

Abacus Life Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Abacus Life is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abacus Life backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abacus Life, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.72 
4.40
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.47
8.72
2.95 
0.00  
Notes

Abacus Life Hype Timeline

On the 4th of January Abacus Life is traded for 8.47. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Abacus is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.72 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 2.95%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.72%. The volatility of related hype on Abacus Life is about 12375.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.50. Abacus Life has 385.91 M in debt. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Abacus Life Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Abacus Life Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Abacus Life's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abacus Life's future price movements. Getting to know how Abacus Life's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abacus Life may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Abacus Life Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Abacus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abacus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abacus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Abacus Life Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Abacus Life stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Abacus Life, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Abacus Life based on analysis of Abacus Life hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Abacus Life's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Abacus Life's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Abacus Life

The number of cover stories for Abacus Life depends on current market conditions and Abacus Life's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abacus Life is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abacus Life's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Abacus Life Short Properties

Abacus Life's future price predictability will typically decrease when Abacus Life's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Abacus Life often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abacus Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abacus Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments131.9 M
Check out Abacus Life Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Other Consideration for investing in Abacus Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Abacus Life check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Abacus Life's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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